Computer Predictions for Games on Friday and This Weekend

Here are the computer's predictions for the games Friday and this weekend involving teams that are ranked in the USILA and IWLCA polls. For the toss-ups, the difference in teams' ratings (making an allowance for home-field advantage) is small enough that a prediction would amount to something close to a coin flip. Home team is listed first.

For toss-up games, we give the computer credit if the difference in the score is three goals or fewer. If the margin is greater, the computer gets the buzzer and the red X. You can see how the computer fared on Monday or Tuesday.

The computer ratings (and therefore these predictions) don't take many variables into account, including how particular teams tend to fare at home or on the road, injuries teams may have, emotional factors, where teams are ranked in the polls, and so forth. Nevertheless, they can provide an entertaining hint about what might happen when the games are played.

Why only ranked teams? Well, it's a manageable list of games, and those teams are generally of greater interest to site visitors. Did you do this in the past and, if so, how did the computer do? Yes, this is the fourth year. In the previous three, the computer's season-long average was just over 80%.

Men's Division I

3/22   Princeton (#11)            Yale (#18)                 Princeton

3/23 Albany (#20) Bucknell (#15) toss-up
3/23 Bellarmine Ohio State (#8) toss-up
3/23 Cornell (#2) Penn (#9) Cornell
3/23 Denver (#5) Air Force Denver
3/23 Duke (#13) Georgetown Duke
3/23 Hofstra (#7) Drexel (#19) Hofstra
3/23 Holy Cross Lehigh (#16) Lehigh
3/23 Johns Hopkins (#10) Virginia (#14) toss-up
3/23 Maryland (#1) North Carolina (#12) Maryland
3/23 Michigan Loyola (#6) Loyola
3/23 Penn State (#17) Saint Joseph's Penn State
3/23 Villanova Syracuse (#4) toss-up

3/24 Rutgers Notre Dame (#3) Notre Dame


Men's Division II

3/22   Ohio Valley                Mercyhurst (#1)            Mercyhurst
3/22 Seton Hill (#8) Belmont Abbey Seton Hill

3/23 American International Merrimack (#7) Merrimack
3/23 Dominican C. Molloy (#10) Molloy
3/23 Dowling (#6) Mercy Dowling
3/23 Franklin Pierce Adelphi (#4) Adelphi
3/23 Le Moyne (#1) Bentley Le Moyne
3/23 LIU Post (#9) NYIT (#5) toss-up
3/23 Pfeiffer (#10) Coker Pfeiffer
3/23 Saint Michael's (#12) Saint Rose Saint Michael's

3/24 Mercyhurst (#1) Walsh Mercyhurst


Men's Division III

3/22   Colby                      Tufts (#9)                 Tufts
3/22 Cortland (#1) Ithaca (#18) Cortland
3/22 Dickinson (#3) Colorado College Dickinson

3/23 Bowdoin Hamilton (#20) Hamilton
3/23 Bridgewater Lynchburg (#6) Lynchburg
3/23 Clarkson RIT (#4) RIT
3/23 Denison (#11) Wooster Denison
3/23 Frostburg State Salisbury (#7) Salisbury
3/23 Gettysburg (#12) Haverford Gettysburg
3/23 Mary Washington Plattsburgh (#19) toss-up
3/23 Middlebury (#14) Wesleyan Middlebury
3/23 Stevenson (#2) Hood Stevenson
3/23 Washington & Lee (#8) Guilford Washington & Lee
3/23 Washington College (#5) McDaniel Washington College
3/23 Williams Connecticut College (#17) toss-up

3/24 Cabrini (#13) Union (#16) Cabrini
3/24 Tufts (#9) Western New England (#15) Tufts


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2013-03-21



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