Jun 16, 2003 07:21 am EDT




The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average
Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings
predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for 
all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on
average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat-
ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown  
under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this   
means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the   
games, the power rating error was within 1 goal.


Regional          Average    No       Measuring (goals) how close the PR
 Team           Goal error Games      predicted actual goal difference 
                                      <1     <2     <3     <4     <5     >5  

AL                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
AK                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
AR                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
AZ                  3.34      96      19     24     10     11      7     25
CA North CIF        2.93     264      69     58     32     31     26     48
CA North Club       3.03      33       6      6      7      3      4      7
CA Central Club     3.17      26       5      6      6      3      2      4
CA LA/Orange Club   2.96      98      24     18     21     10      5     20
CA San Diego CIF    2.78     214      51     44     36     24     22     37
CA So II            0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
CO                  3.29     251      43     47     43     37     30     51
CT I                2.96     291      68     68     42     28     29     56
CT II               2.97     319      76     64     50     35     35     59
DE                  2.74     240      48     52     51     32     29     28
FL Central          3.50     172      29     31     27     26     24     35
FL South            3.29     147      26     29     21     25     14     32
GA                  2.87     179      42     44     21     24     16     32
HA                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
ID                  1.84      48      18     13      8      2      5      2
IL                  3.31     198      43     47     24     22     15     47
IN                  3.08     132      31     22     22     22      9     26
IA                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
KA                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
KY                  2.81      70      16     15     13      6      7     13
LA                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
ME                  2.97     240      53     55     36     30     19     47
MD-Miaa-A/IAC       3.73     201      36     35     22     28     21     59
MD-Miaa-B           4.65      76      10     17      4     12      5     28
MD-Miaa-C           6.02      52      10      8      1      6      5     22
MD-Mil,MAC,WCAC     3.95     273      51     39     35     39     31     78
MD 4321             2.93     925     199    206    155    112    102    152
MA I/II/III         2.88     987     191    228    194    131     85    159
MI A                2.76     177      40     35     37     21     20     24
MI B                3.19     134      32     20     23     18     11     31
MI C                2.55      86      24     20     14     10      9     10
MI D                2.91     181      43     30     37     25     14     32
MN                  2.57     183      39     53     27     21     22     21
MS                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
MO                  3.63     217      45     36     30     23     22     62
MN                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
NA                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
NE/Isl              2.73     450     105    111     74     56     38     68
Rhode Island        0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
NE/North            0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
NE/West I           3.08     120      22     22     26     16     14     20
NE/West II          2.80     170      40     37     31     19     17     26
NH I                2.69     253      65     53     39     30     24     42
NH II               0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
NJ ABC              2.84     863     195    174    169    108     78    140
NV                  2.22      20       4     10      1      1      1      3
NM                 14.49       1       0      0      0      0      0      1
NY-City             2.86     142      38     29     19     17     14     25
NY-Catholic         3.35      63      11     11      7     15      6     13
NY-Sect 1           3.04     350      86     58     56     48     36     67
NY-Sect 2           3.29     178      29     30     42     27     14     36
NY-Sect 3           3.30     375      80     60     56     55     38     86
NY-Sect 4           3.10     138      37     30     12     19     10     30
NY-Sect 5           3.42     217      45     35     29     32     23     53
NY-Sect 6           3.05     227      50     41     35     37     28     36
NY-Sect 8           3.08     436      99     80     65     57     47     88
NY-Sect 9           3.59      67      11      9     16      8      6     18
NY-Sect 10          3.64      65      14     10      8     11      5     17
NY-Sect 11          2.83     334      77     68     60     41     28     60
NC Pub              3.41     234      42     54     35     34     16     53
NC Pri              3.56     123      22     26     19     14     14     28
NC Club             2.93      56      16      8      9      9      4     10
ND                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
OH I                3.58     174      26     25     34     31     17     42
OH II               3.40     183      32     34     30     30     14     43
OH III              2.84     203      48     39     37     30     14     35
OK                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
OR                  2.55     199      46     49     39     25     15     25
PA PSLA             3.05     673     154    129    119     80     81    111
PA Independent     10.05      28       4      2      1      1      1     19
PA West             3.19     235      47     49     46     19     28     47
SC                  6.23      30       4      3      5      0      2     16
PA DIS III          2.76     219      57     42     35     34     16     35
TN                  3.63     113      21     16     23      9     13     31
TX A                3.51     164      37     29     22     21     13     42
TX B                3.17     217      41     46     39     27     26     38
UT                  3.05     218      50     36     44     26     20     42
VT I                2.70      92      20     19     25     10      6     12
VT II               2.61      83      20     19     16      6      9     13
VA Northern AAA     3.00     208      35     49     37     33     23     32
VA Northwest AAA    3.72     114      24     20     15     18      8     29
VA Private I        3.63     137      27     30     16     20      5     39
VA Private II       3.59     183      35     35     23     30     17     43
WA                  2.95     137      27     27     28     19     17     19
WV                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
WI                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
WY                  0.00       0       0      0      0      0      0      0
VA II/III-Indep AA  3.27     134      27     30     14     20     13     30
Georgia Club        2.77      55      17      9      8      7      4     10

TOTAL               2.95   13696    3063   2854   2308   1780   1322   2380

     total games...............  =  13696
     ave error (goals).........  =   2.95
     total upsets..............  =  11528
     % of games within 1 goal..  =  22.36
     % of games within 2 goals.  =  43.20
     % of games within 3 goals.  =  60.05
     % of games within 4 goals.  =  73.05
     % of games within 5 goals.  =  82.70
     % of games    >   5 goals.  =  17.38

 
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