| Region: NY C Sec 6 | State: NY | |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/30 | at Medina (8-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.2 | | L | 8- | 10 | | -0.225 |
4/04 | SILVER CREEK (1-13) | NY C Sec 6 | 71.2 | | W | 18- | 8 | | 0.000 |
4/18 | EDEN (8-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.7 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.200 |
4/19 | at East Aurora (18-3) | NY C Sec 6 | 90.9 | 6 | L | 9- | 15 | | -0.100 |
4/20 | at North Tonawanda (0-14) | NY A Sec 6 | 69.8 | | W | 21- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/21 | CLARENCE (11-8) | NY A Sec 6 | 87.0 | | L | 9- | 15 | | -0.200 |
4/24 | MEDINA (8-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.2 | | W | 12- | 7 | | 0.200 |
4/26 | at Salamanca (11-5) | NY C Sec 6 | 83.9 | | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.250 |
4/30 | at Gowanda (7-13) | NY C Sec 6 | 79.3 | | L | 15- | 18 | | -0.300 |
5/02 | EAST AURORA (18-3) | NY C Sec 6 | 90.9 | 6 | L | 9- | 13 | | -0.175 |
5/10 | at Jamestown (2-14) | NY A Sec 6 | 72.1 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.025 |
5/15 | SALAMANCA (11-5) | NY C Sec 6 | 83.9 | | L | 12- | 13 | | -0.325 |
5/16 | at Silver Creek (1-13) | NY C Sec 6 | 71.2 | | W | 22- | 9 | | 0.000 |
5/18 | GOWANDA (7-13) | NY C Sec 6 | 79.3 | | W | 20- | 2 | | 0.125 |
5/19 | at Eden (8-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.7 | | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.225 |
5/21 | at Lockport (6-12) | NY A Sec 6 | 78.2 | | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.200 |
5/22 | JAMESTOWN (2-14) | NY A Sec 6 | 72.1 | | W | 16- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/25 | MEDINA (8-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.2 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.200 |
5/30 | at East Aurora (18-3) | NY C Sec 6 | 90.9 | 6 | L | 5- | 14 | | -0.100 |
| | 80.8 | | | | | | -0.95 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/30 | A | Medina | 8- | 10 | -2 | -1 | | 1.39 | -1.16 | |
4/04 | H | Silver Creek | 18- | 8 | 10 | 14 | –– | -1.39 | -4.32 | |
4/18 | H | Eden | 10- | 9 | 1 | 2 | | -1.39 | -0.93 | |
4/19 | A | East Aurora | 9- | 15 | -6 | -6 | | 1.39 | 0.23 | |
4/20 | A | North Tonawanda | 21- | 5 | 16 | 12 | + | 1.39 | 3.94 | |
4/21 | H | Clarence | 9- | 15 | -6 | -2 | –– | -1.39 | -4.26 | |
4/24 | H | Medina | 12- | 7 | 5 | 2 | + | -1.39 | 3.06 | |
4/26 | A | Salamanca | 9- | 10 | -1 | 0 | | 1.39 | -1.15 | |
4/30 | A | Gowanda | 15- | 18 | -3 | 2 | –– | 1.39 | -4.77 | |
5/02 | H | East Aurora | 9- | 13 | -4 | -3 | | -1.39 | -0.55 | |
5/10 | A | Jamestown | 16- | 3 | 13 | 9 | + | 1.39 | 3.84 | |
5/15 | H | Salamanca | 12- | 13 | -1 | 3 | – | -1.39 | -3.93 | |
5/16 | A | Silver Creek | 22- | 9 | 13 | 12 | | 1.39 | 1.46 | |
5/18 | H | Gowanda | 20- | 2 | 18 | 5 | +++ | -1.39 | 13.45 | |
5/19 | A | Eden | 8- | 9 | -1 | -1 | | 1.39 | -0.15 | |
5/21 | A | Lockport | 11- | 10 | 1 | 2 | | 1.39 | -1.12 | |
5/22 | H | Jamestown | 16- | 4 | 12 | 12 | | -1.39 | 0.06 | |
5/25 | H | Medina | 7- | 6 | 1 | 2 | | -1.39 | -0.94 | |
5/30 | A | East Aurora | 5- | 14 | -9 | -6 | – | 1.39 | -2.77 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/04 | H | Silver Creek | 18- | 8 | 4.32 |
4/20 | A | North Tonawanda | 21- | 5 | -3.94 |
5/10 | A | Jamestown | 16- | 3 | -3.00 |
5/16 | A | Silver Creek | 22- | 9 | -1.46 |
5/18 | H | Gowanda | 20- | 2 | -8.00 |
5/22 | H | Jamestown | 16- | 4 | -0.06 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.64 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 82. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1543 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 81.54 | | Natl Power Rank | 1543 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 71.43 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1767 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.95 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2610 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.53 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1211 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.3 |
|
