| Region: VA Comw | State: VA | Coach: Pat McAdams |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/14 | H | Brooke Point | 15- | 11 | 4 | 11 | ––– | -1.69 | -7.22 | |
3/15 | A | Monticello | 14- | 8 | 6 | 8 | | 1.81 | | -1.94 |
3/21 | A | Stafford | 22- | 3 | 19 | 15 | + | 1.69 | 3.72 | |
3/28 | A | North Stafford | 7- | 10 | -3 | -3 | | 1.69 | 0.34 | |
3/30 | H | Colonial Forge | 11- | 9 | 2 | 7 | –– | -1.69 | -5.07 | |
4/12 | A | Colonial Forge | 11- | 6 | 5 | 4 | | 1.69 | 1.31 | |
4/18 | A | Brooke Point | 14- | 3 | 11 | 8 | + | 1.69 | 3.16 | |
4/20 | H | Western Albemarle | 7- | 8 | -1 | 3 | –– | -1.81 | | -4.00 |
4/25 | H | Stafford | 17- | 0 | 17 | 19 | | -1.69 | -1.66 | |
4/27 | A | Collegiate School | 12- | 17 | -5 | -3 | – | 1.10 | | -2.27 |
5/02 | H | North Stafford | 9- | 15 | -6 | 0 | ––– | -1.69 | -6.05 | |
5/04 | A | Mountain View | 16- | 4 | 12 | 11 | | 1.69 | 0.94 | |
5/08 | H | St Christopher's | 3- | 8 | -5 | 4 | ––– | -1.10 | | -9.31 |
5/09 | H | Mountain View | 16- | 2 | 14 | 14 | | -1.69 | -0.44 | |
5/12 | H | James Monroe | 17- | 1 | 16 | 15 | | -1.81 | | 0.65 |
5/15 | H | Colonial Forge | 16- | 5 | 11 | 7 | + | -1.69 | 3.93 | |
5/17 | A | North Stafford | 11- | 6 | 5 | -3 | +++ | 1.69 | 8.34 | |
5/21 | A | Patrick Henry | 12- | 6 | 6 | 6 | | 1.69 | 0.01 | |
5/23 | H | Osbourn | 14- | 8 | 6 | 10 | – | -1.69 | -3.65 | |
5/25 | A | North Stafford | 9- | 10 | -1 | -3 | + | 1.69 | 2.34 | |
5/29 | A | Western Albemarle | 6- | 8 | -2 | -1 | | 1.81 | | -1.39 |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -18.27 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/21 | A | Stafford | 22- | 3 | -3.72 |
4/18 | A | Brooke Point | 14- | 3 | -1.00 |
4/25 | H | Stafford | 17- | 0 | 1.66 |
5/04 | A | Mountain View | 16- | 4 | -0.94 |
5/09 | H | Mountain View | 16- | 2 | 0.44 |
5/12 | H | James Monroe | 17- | 1 | -0.65 |
5/15 | H | Colonial Forge | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.25 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 90. | | Natl CCR Rank | 636 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 89.44 | | Natl Power Rank | 636 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 78.06 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1085 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.85 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2613 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.67 | | W-L Pct Rank | 700 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 4-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 1.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 8-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 3.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 12-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 6.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.0 |
| 
