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Taylor Allderdice Dragons (3-13)

Region: PA 2DNORTH

State: PA

Coach: Jon Stehle

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	CHARTIERS VALLEY (4-11)	PA 2DSOUTH	77.9		L	4-	11		-0.150
3/23	at Canon-McMillan (6-7)	PA 2DSOUTH	82.1		L	6-	14		-0.025
3/25	NORTH HILLS (11-8)	PA 2DNORTH	83.7		L	2-	15		-0.075
3/27	at Erie-McDowell (7-9)	PA 2DNORTH	78.8		L	8-	9		-0.100
4/11	at Quaker Valley (6-7)	PA 2DSOUTH	81.8		L	3-	9		-0.025
4/17	at Butler Area (8-10)	PA 2DNORTH	79.8		L	2-	6		-0.050
4/19	at Kiski Prep (14-8)	PA 2DNORTH	86.3		L	3-	10		0.000
4/20	FAIRMONT (4-13)	PA 2DSOUTH	70.8		W	8-	6		0.150
4/23	SHALER AREA (7-9)	PA 2DNORTH	78.9		L	3-	11		-0.175
4/24	BALDWIN (7-11)	PA 2DSOUTH	80.5		L	4-	14		-0.125
4/26	at Trinity (10-6)	PA 2DNORTH	81.7		L	6-	12		-0.050
5/08	LATROBE (3-7)	PA 2DNORTH	74.4		L	5-	7		-0.250
5/09	at Vincentian Academy (6-10)	PA 2DNORTH	73.7		W	8-	7	ot	0.275
5/12	at Winchester Thurston (15-2)	PA 2DSOUTH	90.9	7	L	2-	11		0.000
5/14	at Hampton (6-10)	PA 1DSOUTH	86.6		L	0-	16		0.000
5/16	CATHEDRAL PREP (0-12)	PA 2DNORTH	63.3		W	14-	6		0.000
			77.5						-0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	Chartiers Valley	4-	11	-7	-4	–	-1.47	-2.87
3/23	A	Canon-McMillan	6-	14	-8	-9		1.47	0.82
3/25	H	North Hills	2-	15	-13	-7	––	-1.47	-5.91
3/27	A	Erie-McDowell	8-	9	-1	-6	++	1.47	4.77
4/11	A	Quaker Valley	3-	9	-6	-9	+	1.47	3.26
4/17	A	Butler Area	2-	6	-4	-8	+	1.47	3.57
4/19	A	Kiski Prep	3-	10	-7	-13	++	1.47	5.57
4/20	H	Fairmont	8-	6	2	4	–	-1.47	-2.43
4/23	H	Shaler Area	3-	11	-8	-3	––	-1.47	-5.49
4/24	H	Baldwin	4-	14	-10	-5	––	-1.47	-4.75
4/26	A	Trinity	6-	12	-6	-8	+	1.47	2.05
5/08	H	Latrobe	5-	7	-2	0		-1.47	-1.85
5/09	A	Vincentian Academy	8-	7	1	-1	+	1.47	2.10
5/12	A	Winchester Thurston	2-	11	-9	-14	++	1.47	4.54
5/14	A	Hampton	0-	16	-16	-15		1.47	-1.43
5/16	H	Cathedral Prep	14-	6	8	10		-1.47	-1.95
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/25	H	North Hills	2-	15	3.00
4/24	H	Baldwin	4-	14	0.00
5/14	A	Hampton	0-	16	1.43
10-goal correction: 0.28

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	2317
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.85		Natl Power Rank	2317
Natl SOS Rating	65.67		Natl SOS Rank	2213
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	2290
W-L Pct Rating	0.19		W-L Pct Rank	2261
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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