High School Computer Ratings

Algonquin Tomahawks (13-9)

Conference: CentMass

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Rich Luongo

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/10	NORTH MIDDLESEX (5-14)	MA 2	83.6		W	10-	8		0.075
4/14	MINNECHAUG (12-7)	MA 2	94.6		L	1-	11		-0.125
4/17	HOPKINTON (10-10)	MA 2	89.6		W	7-	3		0.250
4/19	WESTFORD ACADEMY (12-8)	MA 1	90.5		W	5-	4		0.275
4/21	ASHLAND (2-16)	MA 3	80.3		W	11-	3		0.025
4/24	at Wachusett (13-8)	MA 2	88.0	5	W	9-	8		0.200
4/26	ST JOHNS SHREWSBURY (18-3)	MA 2	92.0	1	L	7-	11		-0.150
4/28	HINGHAM (11-10)	MA 2	90.8		L	2-	5		-0.225
4/30	WESTBOROUGH (13-5)	MA 2	89.9	2	L	3-	4	3ot	-0.225
5/01	at St Bernard-Fitchburg (12-10)	MA 2	87.6	7	L	5-	6		-0.300
5/03	at Shrewsbury (14-7)	MA 2	88.6	4	W	5-	4	2ot	0.225
5/07	NEWTON SOUTH (5-11)	MA 1	88.1		W	8-	4		0.200
5/08	at North Middlesex (5-14)	MA 2	83.6		W	10-	4		0.075
5/10	at Westborough (13-5)	MA 2	89.9	2	L	2-	5		-0.200
5/15	WACHUSETT (13-8)	MA 2	88.0	5	W	11-	7		0.200
5/17	at St Johns Shrewsbury (18-3)	MA 2	92.0	1	L	6-	8		-0.125
5/22	ST BERNARD-FITCHBURG (12-10)	MA 2	87.6	7	W	7-	6		0.175
5/23	BOSTON COLLEGE HS (15-5)	MA 1	94.1		L	0-	10		-0.150
5/31	GROTON-DUNSTABLE (13-7)	MA 2	87.7	6	W	10-	2		0.175
6/05	at Westborough (13-5)	MA 2	89.9	2	W	7-	5		0.300
6/10	SHREWSBURY (14-7)	MA 2	88.6	4	W	5-	3		0.225
6/13	vs. Longmeadow # (17-6)	MA 2	95.8		L	6-	15		-0.075
# Neutral site			87.7						0.82

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/10	H	North Middlesex	10-	8	2	7	––	-0.32	-5.49
4/14	H	Minnechaug	1-	11	-10	-5	––	-0.50		-4.93
4/17	H	Hopkinton	7-	3	4	0	+	-0.74		3.81
4/19	H	Westford Academy	5-	4	1	-1		-0.74		1.65
4/21	H	Ashland	11-	3	8	9		-0.74		-1.49
4/24	A	Wachusett	9-	8	1	2		0.32	-0.81
4/26	H	St Johns Shrewsbury	7-	11	-4	-4		-0.32	0.07
4/28	H	Hingham	2-	5	-3	-1	–	-0.74		-2.00
4/30	H	Westborough	3-	4	-1	-1		-0.32	0.26
5/01	A	St Bernard-Fitchburg	5-	6	-1	2	–	0.32	-3.46
5/03	A	Shrewsbury	5-	4	1	1		0.32	0.14
5/07	H	Newton South	8-	4	4	2	+	-0.74		2.29
5/08	A	North Middlesex	10-	4	6	7		0.32	-0.86
5/10	A	Westborough	2-	5	-3	-2		0.32	-1.11
5/15	H	Wachusett	11-	7	4	2		-0.32	1.56
5/17	A	St Johns Shrewsbury	6-	8	-2	-5	+	0.32	2.70
5/22	H	St Bernard-Fitchburg	7-	6	1	3	–	-0.32	-2.09
5/23	H	Boston College HS	0-	10	-10	-4	––	-0.74		-5.68
5/31	H	Groton-Dunstable	10-	2	8	3	++	-0.32	4.70
6/05	A	Westborough	7-	5	2	-2	+	0.32	3.89
6/10	H	Shrewsbury	5-	3	2	1		-0.32	0.51
6/13	N	Longmeadow	6-	15	-9	-7	–	0.00		-2.21
									0.00	-8.56