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Amherst Tigers (10-10)

Region: NY B Sec 6State: NYCoach: Stefan Henn

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/24NIAGARA WHEATFIELD (16-3)NY A Sec 696.32L10-11 -0.150  
3/27CLARENCE (11-8)NY A Sec 687.0W10- 1 0.125  
3/29NICHOLS (3-15)NY P Sec 679.7W11- 5 0.025  
3/31WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (11-8)NY A Sec 690.08L5- 7 -0.300  
4/03vs. Webster Schroeder # (16-3)NY A Sec 598.7L4-10 0.000  
4/17at Orchard Park (16-5)NY A Sec 697.31L4- 8 -0.050  
4/19at Grand Island (7-10)NY B Sec 683.9W9- 6 0.175  
4/23WEST SENECA EAST (13-5)NY B Sec 690.27L6- 7ot-0.325  
4/25IROQUOIS (6-13)NY B Sec 681.6W15- 3 0.050  
4/27TIMON ST JUDE (9-10)NY P Sec 687.5L8-10 -0.350  
5/01SWEET HOME (11-9)NY B Sec 688.010W10- 9ot0.125  
5/03at Williamsville South (4-13)NY B Sec 679.3W13- 1 0.075  
5/05PENN YAN (16-7)NY C Sec 596.2L4-10 -0.100  
5/07at Williamsville East (9-10)NY B Sec 684.9W13- 3 0.175  
5/09HAMBURG (17-4)NY B Sec 693.93L6- 7 -0.250  
5/15at Lake Shore Central (0-15)NY B Sec 674.0W15- 0 0.000  
5/18FRONTIER (14-5)NY A Sec 693.54L10-13 -0.250  
5/25WILLIAMSVILLE EAST (9-10)NY B Sec 684.9W12- 6 0.100  
5/30at West Seneca East (13-5)NY B Sec 690.27W6- 53ot0.250  
6/01HAMBURG (17-4)NY B Sec 693.93L7- 9 -0.250  
# Neutral site 88.7     -0.92  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/24HNiagara Wheatfield10-11-1   -4       +-1.39       2.91
3/27HClarence10-19   5       ++-1.39       4.11
3/29HNichols11-56   9       –-1.39       -3.15
3/31HWilliamsville North5-7-2   2       ––-1.39       -4.36
4/03NWebster Schroeder4-10-6   -10       ++0.00       4.02
4/17AOrchard Park4-8-4   -8       ++1.39       4.10
4/19AGrand Island9-63   3       1.39       -0.02
4/23HWest Seneca East6-7-1   3       –-1.39       -3.99
4/25HIroquois15-312   8       +-1.39       3.57
4/27HTimon St Jude8-10-2   4       –––-1.39       -6.21
5/01HSweet Home10-91   5       –-1.39       -3.95
5/03AWilliamsville South13-112   7       ++1.39       4.55
5/05HPenn Yan4-10-6   -6       -1.26       0.25
5/07AWilliamsville East13-310   3       +++1.39       6.67
5/09HHamburg6-7-1   0       -1.39       -1.30
5/15ALake Shore Central15-015   14       1.39       1.42
5/18HFrontier10-13-3   0       –-1.39       -2.74
5/25HWilliamsville East12-66   6       -1.39       -0.11
5/30AWest Seneca East6-51   0       1.39       0.79
6/01HHamburg7-9-2   0       –-1.39       -2.30
         0.004.27

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/25HIroquois15-3-2.00
5/03AWilliamsville South13-1-2.00
5/07AWilliamsville East13-30.00
5/15ALake Shore Central15-0-1.42
10-goal correction: -0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 90.   Natl CCR Rank 660
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 88.67   Natl Power Rank 660
Natl SOS Rating 87.11   Natl SOS Rank 265
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.92   Natl Quality Win Rank 2609
W-L Pct Rating 0.50   W-L Pct Rank 1300
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-8   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.7

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