| Conference: SCIAC | Region: CT L | State: CT | Coach: Doc Behrer |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/05 | H | Notre Dame-West Haven | 14- | 0 | 14 | 14 | | -1.70 | -0.07 | |
4/07 | A | Barlow-Redding | 14- | 15 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.70 | 2.53 | |
4/10 | A | Daniel Hand-Madison | 12- | 11 | 1 | -2 | + | 1.70 | 2.59 | |
4/12 | A | Hamden | 13- | 10 | 3 | 5 | | 1.70 | -1.73 | |
4/16 | A | West Haven | 15- | 1 | 14 | 12 | + | 1.70 | 2.44 | |
4/21 | A | Morgan-Clinton | 16- | 8 | 8 | 6 | + | 1.70 | 2.09 | |
4/23 | H | Guilford | 12- | 6 | 6 | 3 | + | -1.70 | 3.30 | |
4/26 | H | Southington | 9- | 5 | 4 | 8 | – | -1.70 | -3.97 | |
5/01 | A | North Haven | 15- | 3 | 12 | 7 | ++ | 1.70 | 4.96 | |
5/03 | H | Cheshire HS | 11- | 9 | 2 | 0 | + | -1.70 | 2.11 | |
5/08 | A | Shelton | 5- | 2 | 3 | 8 | –– | 1.70 | -4.70 | |
5/10 | H | Fairfield Prep | 9- | 16 | -7 | -5 | – | -1.70 | -2.36 | |
5/12 | H | New Fairfield | 11- | 21 | -10 | -1 | ––– | -1.70 | -8.80 | |
5/15 | H | Branford | 14- | 13 | 1 | -2 | + | -1.70 | 3.22 | |
5/21 | H | Xavier | 12- | 5 | 7 | 9 | – | -1.70 | -2.21 | |
5/23 | H | Daniel Hand-Madison | 11- | 7 | 4 | 2 | + | -1.70 | 2.20 | |
5/29 | N | Fairfield Prep | 5- | 16 | -11 | -6 | –– | 0.00 | -4.66 | |
6/02 | H | Shelton | 13- | 3 | 10 | 11 | | -1.70 | -1.09 | |
6/06 | A | New Milford | 15- | 16 | -1 | -5 | ++ | 1.70 | 4.15 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/05 | H | Notre Dame-West Haven | 14- | 0 | 0.07 |
4/16 | A | West Haven | 15- | 1 | -2.44 |
5/01 | A | North Haven | 15- | 3 | -2.00 |
5/12 | H | New Fairfield | 11- | 21 | 0.00 |
5/29 | N | Fairfield Prep | 5- | 16 | 1.00 |
6/02 | H | Shelton | 13- | 3 | 1.09 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.12 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 94. | | Natl CCR Rank | 256 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 94.56 | | Natl Power Rank | 256 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 85.78 | | Natl SOS Rank | 341 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.92 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 291 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.74 | | W-L Pct Rank | 447 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
| 
