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Academy New Church Lions (13-2)

Region: PA Noeast

State: PA

Coach: Keir Hyatt

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Valley Forge (6-5)	PA Indep	83.9		W	13-	4		0.000
4/12	CHESTNUT HILL ACADEMY (6-8)	PA IAC	85.5		W	9-	1		0.100
4/13	FRIENDS CENTRAL (7-7)	PA Noeast	86.4		W	10-	3		0.125
4/17	at Westtown (3-9)	PA Noeast	84.1		W	14-	6		0.100
4/20	at Moorestown Friends (5-9)	NJ Grp-B	77.1		W	11-	1		0.000
4/24	at George School (4-10)	PA Noeast	83.0		W	10-	1		0.000
5/01	PERKIOMEN SCHOOL (3-11)	PA Noeast	82.9		W	17-	1		0.000
5/04	at Holy Ghost Prep (9-6)	PA Noeast	90.4		W	10-	8		0.325
5/05	at Hun School (14-6)	NJ Private	93.0		L	6-	11		-0.150
5/07	PENNRIDGE (4-14)	PA SubNat	84.9		W	12-	5		0.100
5/08	SHIPLEY (10-6)	PA Noeast	87.4		W	6-	5		0.150
5/09	at New Hope/Solebury (3-9)	PA Indep	83.6		W	11-	9		0.050
5/17	WESTTOWN (3-9)	PA Noeast	84.1		W	12-	8		0.025
5/19	FRIENDS CENTRAL (7-7)	PA Noeast	86.4		W	12-	3		0.125
5/22	at Penncrest (15-8)	PA Centrl	94.3		L	3-	15		-0.050
			80.4						0.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Valley Forge	13-	4	9	10		1.29	-0.68
4/12	H	Chestnut Hill Academy	9-	1	8	6	+	-1.29	2.39
4/13	H	Friends Central	10-	3	7	5		-1.29	1.77
4/17	A	Westtown	14-	6	8	6		1.29	1.75
4/20	A	Moorestown Friends	11-	1	10	12	–	1.16		-2.11
4/24	A	George School	10-	1	9	10		1.29	-0.84
5/01	H	Perkiomen School	17-	1	16	13	+	-1.29	2.98
5/04	A	Holy Ghost Prep	10-	8	2	-3	++	1.29	5.15
5/05	A	Hun School	6-	11	-5	-4		1.16		-1.20
5/07	H	Pennridge	12-	5	7	6		-1.29	0.52
5/08	H	Shipley	6-	5	1	4	–	-1.29	-2.86
5/09	A	New Hope/Solebury	11-	9	2	8	––	1.29	-5.57
5/17	H	Westtown	12-	8	4	9	––	-1.29	-4.84
5/19	H	Friends Central	12-	3	9	5	+	-1.29	3.77
5/22	A	Penncrest	3-	15	-12	-8	–	1.29	-3.52
									0.00	-3.31

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/20	A	Moorestown Friends	11-	1	2.11
5/01	H	Perkiomen School	17-	1	-2.98
5/22	A	Penncrest	3-	15	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	568
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.41		Natl Power Rank	568
Natl SOS Rating	70.69		Natl SOS Rank	1845
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	308
W-L Pct Rating	0.87		W-L Pct Rank	121
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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