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DuPont Manual Crimson (4-9)

Region: KY Div-1

State: KY

Coach: John Peabody

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/15	LOUISVILLE ST XAVIER (15-7)	KY Div-1	89.3	2	L	5-	16		0.000
3/17	at Hamilton SouthEastern (9-10)	IN Indep	80.0		L	7-	13		-0.050
3/21	LOUISVILLE BALLARD (3-10)	KY Div-1	76.4	9	W	17-	12		0.275
3/24	LOUISVILLE MALE (4-6)	KY Div-2	67.5		W	10-	8		0.025
3/30	KENTUCKY COUNTRY DAY (0-15)	KY Div-1	65.4		W	12-	6		0.050
4/04	at Louisville Trinity (16-3)	KY Div-1	91.0	1	L	1-	16		0.000
4/18	at Oldham County (11-3)	KY Div-2	79.8	6	L	10-	13		-0.150
4/21	LEXINGTON TATES CREEK (10-5)	KY Div-1	86.6	3	L	2-	15		-0.050
4/23	LEXINGTON DUNBAR (5-8)	KY Div-1	77.1	7	W	16-	14		0.275
4/28	LEXINGTON CATHOLIC (8-4)	KY Div-1	84.8	4	L	8-	17		-0.100
5/01	at Louisville Collegiate (8-6)	KY Div-1	84.0	5	L	13-	21		0.000
5/08	at Lexington Sayre (5-10)	KY Div-1	73.2		L	10-	13		-0.175
5/14	at Lexington Tates Creek (10-5)	KY Div-1	86.6	3	L	5-	14		0.000
			82.1						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/15	H	Louisville St Xavier	5-	16	-11	-12		-1.81	1.07
3/17	A	Hamilton SouthEastern	7-	13	-6	-8	+	2.24		2.49
3/21	H	Louisville Ballard	17-	12	5	-1	++	-1.81	5.90
3/24	H	Louisville Male	10-	8	2	9	–––	-1.81	-6.76
3/30	H	Kentucky Country Day	12-	6	6	8		-1.81	-1.58
4/04	A	Louisville Trinity	1-	16	-15	-16		1.81	0.74
4/18	A	Oldham County	10-	13	-3	-4		1.81	0.70
4/21	H	Lexington Tates Creek	2-	15	-13	-8	––	-1.81	-4.60
4/23	H	Lexington Dunbar	16-	14	2	-1	+	-1.81	2.72
4/28	H	Lexington Catholic	8-	17	-9	-6	–	-1.81	-2.78
5/01	A	Louisville Collegiate	13-	21	-8	-10		1.81	1.84
5/08	A	Lexington Sayre	10-	13	-3	-3		1.81	-0.27
5/14	A	Lexington Tates Creek	5-	14	-9	-12	+	1.81	3.03
									0.00	2.49

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	H	Louisville St Xavier	5-	16	-1.07
4/04	A	Louisville Trinity	1-	16	-0.74
4/21	H	Lexington Tates Creek	2-	15	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	2261
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.75		Natl Power Rank	2261
Natl SOS Rating	74.19		Natl SOS Rank	1474
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	1054
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	1956
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.7


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