| Region: MN MSHSL-L | State: MN | Coach: Tim Roche |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/12 | APPLE VALLEY (4-8) | MN MSHSL-L | 87.2 | | L | 7- | 8 | ot | -0.375 |
4/14 | at Breck (8-4) | MN MSHSL-C | 90.4 | 9 | W | 6- | 5 | ot | 0.250 |
4/17 | at Bloom Jefferson (8-6) | MN MSHSL-L | 90.3 | | L | 7- | 8 | 3ot | -0.225 |
4/19 | at Bloom Kennedy (2-11) | MN MSHSL-L | 82.7 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.050 |
4/20 | at Minnetonka (10-4) | MN MSHSL-C | 91.8 | 6 | L | 6- | 12 | | -0.175 |
4/24 | PRIOR LAKE (10-4) | MN MSHSL-L | 89.9 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.175 |
4/26 | at Rosemount (0-13) | MN MSHSL-3 | 78.1 | | W | 11- | 0 | | 0.000 |
4/28 | CHASKA (2-11) | MN MSHSL-L | 84.9 | | W | 14- | 6 | | 0.050 |
5/03 | LAKEVILLE (6-8) | MN MSHSL-L | 87.4 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.125 |
5/05 | at Academy Holy Angels (6-8) | MN MSHSL-C | 89.0 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.250 |
5/08 | EAGAN (8-6) | MN MSHSL-L | 89.4 | | L | 4- | 8 | | -0.350 |
5/10 | at Eden Prairie (15-2) | MN MSHSL-L | 93.5 | 2 | L | 3- | 8 | | -0.125 |
5/14 | SIMLEY (1-11) | MN MSHSL-N | 76.8 | | W | 18- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/16 | at Eagan (8-6) | MN MSHSL-L | 89.4 | | W | 13- | 2 | | 0.225 |
5/18 | vs. Prior Lake # (10-4) | MN MSHSL-L | 89.9 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.200 |
5/24 | vs. Benilde St. Margaret # (17-0) | MN MSHSL-N | 95.1 | 1 | L | 4- | 9 | | -0.125 |
5/25 | vs. Osseo-Park Center # (14-2) | MN MSHSL-N | 92.2 | 5 | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.250 |
| # Neutral site | | 87.0 | | | | | | -0.30 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/12 | H | Apple Valley | 7- | 8 | -1 | 5 | ––– | -1.24 | -6.11 | |
4/14 | A | Breck | 6- | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 1.24 | 1.10 | |
4/17 | A | Bloom Jefferson | 7- | 8 | -1 | -1 | | 1.24 | -0.16 | |
4/19 | A | Bloom Kennedy | 12- | 3 | 9 | 8 | | 1.24 | 1.39 | |
4/20 | A | Minnetonka | 6- | 12 | -6 | -3 | – | 1.24 | -3.24 | |
4/24 | H | Prior Lake | 8- | 7 | 1 | 3 | – | -1.24 | -2.19 | |
4/26 | A | Rosemount | 11- | 0 | 11 | 12 | | 1.24 | -1.28 | |
4/28 | H | Chaska | 14- | 6 | 8 | 8 | | -1.24 | 0.26 | |
5/03 | H | Lakeville | 9- | 6 | 3 | 5 | | -1.24 | -1.67 | |
5/05 | A | Academy Holy Angels | 7- | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 1.24 | 0.62 | |
5/08 | H | Eagan | 4- | 8 | -4 | 4 | ––– | -1.24 | -7.53 | |
5/10 | A | Eden Prairie | 3- | 8 | -5 | -5 | | 1.24 | -0.34 | |
5/14 | H | Simley | 18- | 1 | 17 | 17 | | -1.24 | 0.39 | |
5/16 | A | Eagan | 13- | 2 | 11 | 1 | +++ | 1.24 | 9.96 | |
5/18 | N | Prior Lake | 14- | 2 | 12 | 2 | +++ | 0.00 | 10.06 | |
5/24 | N | Benilde St. Margaret | 4- | 9 | -5 | -5 | | 0.00 | -0.16 | |
5/25 | N | Osseo-Park Center | 6- | 7 | -1 | 0 | | 0.00 | -1.08 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/26 | A | Rosemount | 11- | 0 | 1.28 |
5/14 | H | Simley | 18- | 1 | -0.39 |
5/16 | A | Eagan | 13- | 2 | -1.00 |
5/18 | N | Prior Lake | 14- | 2 | -2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.12 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 91. | | Natl CCR Rank | 526 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.39 | | Natl Power Rank | 526 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 83.40 | | Natl SOS Rank | 521 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.30 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1850 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.59 | | W-L Pct Rank | 931 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -5.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.0 |
| 
