| Region: NC 4A | State: NC | Coach: John Hayden |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/02 | H | W.G. Enloe | 17- | 2 | 15 | 17 | | -0.74 | -1.75 | |
3/09 | A | East Chapel Hill | 4- | 5 | -1 | 1 | | 0.74 | -1.66 | |
3/13 | A | Durham Riverside | 6- | 9 | -3 | 3 | –– | 0.74 | -5.85 | |
3/20 | H | Chapel Hill | 4- | 7 | -3 | -1 | – | -0.74 | -2.07 | |
3/23 | A | Cary HS | 11- | 4 | 7 | 3 | ++ | 0.74 | 4.18 | |
3/27 | A | Athens Drive | 12- | 1 | 11 | 12 | | 0.74 | -0.69 | |
3/28 | H | Wilmington Laney | 10- | 2 | 8 | 11 | – | -0.74 | -2.56 | |
3/30 | H | Cary-Middle Creek | 10- | 5 | 5 | 9 | – | -0.74 | -3.70 | |
4/02 | A | Langley | 3- | 7 | -4 | -2 | | 0.96 | | -1.88 |
4/03 | A | Woodson | 10- | 4 | 6 | -2 | +++ | 0.96 | | 7.99 |
4/13 | H | Wakefield | 15- | 5 | 10 | 9 | | -0.74 | 1.08 | |
4/17 | H | Green Hope | 16- | 10 | 6 | 6 | | -0.74 | -0.34 | |
4/20 | H | Cardinal Gibbons | 11- | 3 | 8 | 3 | ++ | -0.74 | 4.50 | |
4/24 | A | Cary-Middle Creek | 12- | 2 | 10 | 7 | + | 0.74 | 2.78 | |
4/27 | H | Cary HS | 14- | 4 | 10 | 4 | ++ | -0.74 | 5.70 | |
5/01 | A | Athens Drive | 16- | 2 | 14 | 12 | + | 0.74 | 2.31 | |
5/03 | A | Green Hope | 15- | 6 | 9 | 5 | ++ | 0.74 | 4.13 | |
5/08 | H | Cary-Middle Creek | 11- | 4 | 7 | 9 | | -0.74 | -1.70 | |
5/11 | H | Cary HS | 8- | 7 | 1 | 4 | – | -0.74 | -3.30 | |
5/16 | A | Charlotte Providence | 9- | 10 | -1 | 0 | | 0.74 | -1.06 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 6.11 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/02 | H | W.G. Enloe | 17- | 2 | 1.75 |
3/27 | A | Athens Drive | 12- | 1 | 0.69 |
4/13 | H | Wakefield | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
4/24 | A | Cary-Middle Creek | 12- | 2 | 0.00 |
4/27 | H | Cary HS | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
5/01 | A | Athens Drive | 16- | 2 | -2.31 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.01 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 94. | | Natl CCR Rank | 278 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 92.84 | | Natl Power Rank | 278 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 84.59 | | Natl SOS Rank | 432 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.05 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1355 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.75 | | W-L Pct Rank | 421 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 15-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -1.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 10-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.3 |
| 
