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Arlington Spy Ponders (13-7)

Conference: Greater Boston

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Scott Eisman

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	at Wayland (17-4)	MA 2	93.0		L	4-	8		-0.175
4/05	CONCORD CARLISLE (17-7)	MA 2	92.3		W	6-	5		0.225
4/07	BEDFORD (3-13)	MA 3	84.6		W	15-	5		0.025
4/11	PEABODY (13-6)	MA 1	91.7		L	12-	13	ot	-0.250
4/14	BRAINTREE (8-10)	MA 1	88.2		W	15-	6		0.125
4/24	WALTHAM (3-15)	MA 1	87.6		W	13-	6		0.150
4/26	at Medford (0-17)	MA 1	76.0		W	15-	2		0.000
4/30	at Masconomet (13-8)	MA 2	90.2		W	17-	9		0.275
5/01	at Cambridge Rindge/Latin (6-8)	MA 1	83.0		W	12-	5		0.050
5/03	HANOVER (14-7)	MA 3	90.7		L	6-	7		-0.275
5/05	at Barnstable (15-7)	MA 1	91.0		L	6-	8		-0.225
5/07	BURLINGTON (6-12)	MA 2	85.9		W	10-	8		0.025
5/08	at Peabody (13-6)	MA 1	91.7		W	9-	5		0.300
5/10	SCITUATE (16-4)	MA 3	94.4	6	L	6-	10		-0.175
5/15	at Waltham (3-15)	MA 1	87.6		W	10-	9	ot	0.225
5/17	CHELMSFORD (13-10)	MA 1	90.8		W	4-	3		0.225
5/21	at Malden Catholic (5-13)	MA 1	89.3		L	4-	5		-0.250
5/23	at Bedford (3-13)	MA 3	84.6		W	14-	8		0.100
5/29	HOPKINTON (10-10)	MA 2	89.6		W	11-	10		0.200
6/02	at Wellesley (18-5)	MA 2	93.4	8	L	4-	15		-0.150
			88.0						0.42

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	Wayland	4-	8	-4	-3		1.16	-1.43
4/05	H	Concord Carlisle	6-	5	1	1		-1.16	0.47
4/07	H	Bedford	15-	5	10	9		-1.16	1.38
4/11	H	Peabody	12-	13	-1	0		-1.16	-0.86
4/14	H	Braintree	15-	6	9	5	+	-1.16	3.75
4/24	H	Waltham	13-	6	7	4	+	-1.16	3.30
4/26	A	Medford	15-	2	13	13		1.16	0.49
4/30	A	Masconomet	17-	9	8	-1	+++	1.16	8.80
5/01	A	Cambridge Rindge/Latin	12-	5	7	8		1.16	-1.23
5/03	H	Hanover	6-	7	-1	1	–	-1.16	-2.29
5/05	A	Barnstable	6-	8	-2	-1		1.16	-0.85
5/07	H	Burlington	10-	8	2	9	–––	-1.16	-7.25
5/08	A	Peabody	9-	5	4	-2	+++	1.16	6.46
5/10	H	Scituate	6-	10	-4	-3		-1.16	-0.84
5/15	A	Waltham	10-	9	1	1		1.16	-0.38
5/17	H	Chelmsford	4-	3	1	1		-1.16	0.05
5/21	A	Malden Catholic	4-	5	-1	0		1.16	-1.27
5/23	A	Bedford	14-	8	6	6		1.16	-0.30
5/29	H	Hopkinton	11-	10	1	2		-1.16	-0.75
6/02	A	Wellesley	4-	15	-11	-4	–––	1.16	-7.25
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	H	Bedford	15-	5	0.00
4/26	A	Medford	15-	2	-0.49
6/02	A	Wellesley	4-	15	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	502
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.90		Natl Power Rank	502
Natl SOS Rating	85.52		Natl SOS Rank	362
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.42		Natl Quality Win Rank	675
W-L Pct Rating	0.65		W-L Pct Rank	720
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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