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Athens Drive Jaguars (2-14)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Rick Weber

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/27	at Broughton-Needham (10-8)	NC 4A	79.8		W	7-	4		0.275
3/02	CHAPEL HILL (22-4)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	1-	12		0.000
3/06	SOUTHEAST RALEIGH (10-7)	NC 4A	80.5		L	8-	9	ot	-0.250
3/09	at Durham Jordan (11-9)	NC 4A	86.3		L	1-	12		-0.050
3/13	W.G. ENLOE (4-10)	NC 4A	74.1		W	12-	4		0.150
3/17	at Wilmington Hoggard (15-6)	NC 4A	88.2	10	L	5-	8		-0.050
3/20	CARDINAL GIBBONS (17-4)	NC 3A/2A	90.9	8	L	4-	15		-0.025
3/23	at Northern Durham (5-12)	NC 4A	76.5		L	6-	7	2ot	-0.250
3/27	APEX (15-5)	NC 4A	92.8	3	L	1-	12		0.000
3/30	GREEN HOPE (8-9)	NC 4A	84.5		L	13-	16		-0.100
4/13	at Cary-Middle Creek (7-7)	NC 4A	83.7		L	4-	7		-0.125
4/17	at Cary HS (14-4)	NC 4A	90.2	9	L	5-	14		0.000
4/20	CARY-MIDDLE CREEK (7-7)	NC 4A	83.7		L	4-	6		-0.150
4/24	at Green Hope (8-9)	NC 4A	84.5		L	4-	17		-0.050
5/01	APEX (15-5)	NC 4A	92.8	3	L	2-	16		0.000
5/04	CARY HS (14-4)	NC 4A	90.2	9	L	1-	17		-0.050
			87.3						-0.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	A	Broughton-Needham	7-	4	3	-1	++	0.74	4.30
3/02	H	Chapel Hill	1-	12	-11	-13	+	-0.74	2.36
3/06	H	SouthEast Raleigh	8-	9	-1	0		-0.74	-1.15
3/09	A	Durham Jordan	1-	12	-11	-8	–	0.74	-3.18
3/13	H	W.G. Enloe	12-	4	8	4	+	-0.74	3.68
3/17	A	Wilmington Hoggard	5-	8	-3	-8	++	0.74	4.86
3/20	H	Cardinal Gibbons	4-	15	-11	-9	–	-0.74	-2.07
3/23	A	Northern Durham	6-	7	-1	0		0.74	-1.49
3/27	H	Apex	1-	12	-11	-12		-0.74	0.69
3/30	H	Green Hope	13-	16	-3	-6	+	-0.74	3.09
4/13	A	Cary-Middle Creek	4-	7	-3	-5	+	0.74	2.20
4/17	A	Cary HS	5-	14	-9	-10		0.74	0.61
4/20	H	Cary-Middle Creek	4-	6	-2	-4		-0.74	1.73
4/24	A	Green Hope	4-	17	-13	-8	––	0.74	-5.44
5/01	H	Apex	2-	16	-14	-12	–	-0.74	-2.31
5/04	H	Cary HS	1-	17	-16	-8	–––	-0.74	-7.87
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/02	H	Chapel Hill	1-	12	-2.36
3/09	A	Durham Jordan	1-	12	1.00
3/20	H	Cardinal Gibbons	4-	15	1.00
3/27	H	Apex	1-	12	-0.69
4/24	A	Green Hope	4-	17	3.00
5/01	H	Apex	2-	16	2.31
5/04	H	Cary HS	1-	17	6.00
10-goal correction: 0.64

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1909
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.05		Natl Power Rank	1909
Natl SOS Rating	83.60		Natl SOS Rank	515
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.68		Natl Quality Win Rank	2373
W-L Pct Rating	0.12		W-L Pct Rank	2406
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-12		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-14.3


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