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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Avon Old Farms Winged Beavers (12-3)

Conference: FND

Region: NE 1 West

State: CT

Coach: Ted Garber

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/07	NORTHFIELD MT HERMON (11-8)	NE 1 West	93.5	7	W	9-	8		0.150
4/11	PHILLIPS EXETER (10-6)	NE East-1	96.3		W	5-	4		0.200
4/14	TABOR ACADEMY (7-7)	NE East-1	93.2		W	10-	3		0.125
4/18	at Minnechaug (12-7)	MA 2	94.0		W	16-	5		0.200
4/21	at Choate (6-8)	NE 1 West	91.8	9	L	3-	6		-0.300
4/25	at Westminster School (10-4)	NE 1 West	95.4	6	W	7-	6		0.275
4/28	at Kent School (4-12)	NE 1 West	86.2		W	13-	7		0.050
4/30	BRUNSWICK SCHOOL (7-7)	NE 1 West	92.8	8	W	5-	4		0.200
5/02	HOTCHKISS (10-3)	NE 1 West	96.8	3	L	10-	11	2ot	-0.275
5/05	TRINITY-PAWLING (9-8)	NE 1 West	91.4	10	W	19-	11		0.150
5/09	CANTERBURY (1-14)	NE 1 West	82.2		W	19-	1		0.000
5/12	at Deerfield (15-0)	NE 1 West	99.2	1	L	4-	10		-0.100
5/16	at Taft School (3-10)	NE 1 West	88.1		W	12-	4		0.125
5/19	SALISBURY SCHOOL (11-5)	NE 1 West	95.9	4	W	6-	5		0.225
5/23	at Loomis Chaffee (11-5)	NE 1 West	95.9	5	W	6-	5	ot	0.275
			92.0						1.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	H	Northfield Mt Hermon	9-	8	1	4	–	-1.15	-3.33
4/11	H	Phillips Exeter	5-	4	1	2		-1.30		-0.95
4/14	H	Tabor Academy	10-	3	7	5		-1.30		1.90
4/18	A	Minnechaug	16-	5	11	2	+++	0.91		8.96
4/21	A	Choate	3-	6	-3	2	––	1.15	-4.66
4/25	A	Westminster School	7-	6	1	-1		1.15	1.76
4/28	A	Kent School	13-	7	6	8	–	1.15	-2.37
4/30	H	Brunswick School	5-	4	1	2		-1.15	-0.86
5/02	H	Hotchkiss	10-	11	-1	1		-1.15	-1.82
5/05	H	Trinity-Pawling	19-	11	8	4	++	-1.15	4.18
5/09	H	Canterbury	19-	1	18	17		-1.15	1.44
5/12	A	Deerfield	4-	10	-6	-6		1.15	-0.16
5/16	A	Taft School	12-	4	8	5	+	1.15	3.23
5/19	H	Salisbury School	6-	5	1	1		-1.15	0.26
5/23	A	Loomis Chaffee	6-	5	1	-1	+	1.15	2.32
									0.00	9.91

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/18	A	Minnechaug	16-	5	-1.00
5/09	H	Canterbury	19-	1	-1.44
10-goal correction: -0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	74
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	96.97		Natl Power Rank	70
Natl SOS Rating	94.33		Natl SOS Rank	43
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	136
W-L Pct Rating	0.80		W-L Pct Rank	260
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3

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