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Avon Grove Devils (9-7)

Region: PA Suburb

State: PA

Coach: Eric Jackson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	at Shipley (10-6)	PA Noeast	87.4		W	6-	3		0.150
3/27	at Sun Valley (2-14)	PA DelVal	84.7		W	11-	0		0.075
4/04	at Arundel (4-10)	MD 43 East	81.6		W	12-	4		0.050
4/05	at Pottsgrove (1-14)	PA PAC-10	83.1		W	18-	5		0.000
4/11	UPPER DARBY (7-13)	PA Centrl	86.7		W	11-	3		0.100
4/13	at West Chester Rustin (1-17)	PA Suburb	84.4		W	7-	0		0.100
4/14	SALESIANUM (16-1)	DE Cathlc	94.9		W	8-	6		0.325
4/16	DOWNINGTOWN EAST (21-3)	PA Suburb	99.2	1	L	1-	13		-0.025
4/18	GREAT VALLEY (18-5)	PA Suburb	95.1	6	L	4-	9		-0.150
4/20	KENNETT (10-11)	PA DelVal	89.5		W	7-	5		0.175
4/23	GARNET VALLEY (18-4)	PA DelVal	95.0	7	L	4-	14		-0.125
5/01	at West Chester Henderson (6-13)	PA Suburb	88.5		W	9-	6		0.250
5/04	at Downingtown West (16-6)	PA Suburb	95.0	8	L	2-	9		-0.050
5/05	WEST CHESTER EAST (13-6)	PA Suburb	92.6		L	8-	9		-0.225
5/08	BISHOP SHANAHAN (8-9)	PA Suburb	91.1		L	9-	12		-0.250
5/15	at Unionville (12-12)	PA Suburb	92.2		L	6-	12		-0.100
			87.9						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	Shipley	6-	3	3	4		1.29	-0.66
3/27	A	Sun Valley	11-	0	11	7	++	1.29	4.25
4/04	A	Arundel	12-	4	8	8		1.01		-0.14
4/05	A	Pottsgrove	18-	5	13	11		1.29	1.97
4/11	H	Upper Darby	11-	3	8	6		-1.29	1.84
4/13	A	West Chester Rustin	7-	0	7	6		1.29	1.14
4/14	H	Salesianum	8-	6	2	-3	++	-0.93		5.32
4/16	H	Downingtown East	1-	13	-12	-9	–	-1.29	-3.26
4/18	H	Great Valley	4-	9	-5	-4		-1.29	-0.54
4/20	H	Kennett	7-	5	2	3		-1.29	-1.09
4/23	H	Garnet Valley	4-	14	-10	-5	––	-1.29	-5.13
5/01	A	West Chester Henderson	9-	6	3	0	+	1.29	3.33
5/04	A	Downingtown West	2-	9	-7	-8		1.29	0.73
5/05	H	West Chester East	8-	9	-1	-1		-1.29	0.37
5/08	H	Bishop Shanahan	9-	12	-3	0	–	-1.29	-2.51
5/15	A	Unionville	6-	12	-6	-6		1.29	-0.44
									0.00	5.17

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	A	Sun Valley	11-	0	-1.00
4/05	A	Pottsgrove	18-	5	-1.97
4/16	H	Downingtown East	1-	13	2.00
4/23	H	Garnet Valley	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	483
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.70		Natl Power Rank	483
Natl SOS Rating	85.22		Natl SOS Rank	380
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	812
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1043
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.3


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