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Basha Bears (2-10)

Region: AZ Div-2

State: AZ

Coach: Larry Gudas

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/17	vs. Hamilton # (10-4)	AZ Div-2	87.0	10	L	3-	19		0.000
3/01	at Phoenix Country Day (5-8)	AZ Div-2	78.6		L	3-	15		-0.075
3/07	at Chandler (7-6)	AZ Div-1	87.4	8	L	4-	14		0.000
3/10	TUCSON TANQUE VERDE (8-6)	AZ Div-2	83.8		L	0-	1		-0.025
3/13	at Gilbert (5-7)	AZ Div-1	86.1		L	2-	12		0.000
3/24	at Tucson Tanque Verde (8-6)	AZ Div-2	83.8		L	3-	10		0.000
3/27	CORONA DEL SOL (10-4)	AZ Div-2	87.2	9	L	5-	15		0.000
3/31	at Mesa (3-9)	AZ Div-2	75.3		L	4-	11		-0.175
4/05	PINNACLE (7-7)	AZ Div-2	81.9		L	5-	15		-0.075
4/11	at Scottsdale Christian (0-12)	AZ Div-2	64.9		W	9-	8		0.150
4/12	at Phoenix Country Day (5-8)	AZ Div-2	78.6		L	1-	9		-0.075
4/14	at Horizon (4-9)	AZ Div-2	74.5		W	8-	7		0.350
# Neutral site			81.6						0.07

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/17	N	Hamilton	3-	19	-16	-11	––	0.00	-4.51
3/01	A	Phoenix Country Day	3-	15	-12	-7	––	1.03	-4.59
3/07	A	Chandler	4-	14	-10	-14	+	1.03	3.91
3/13	A	Gilbert	2-	12	-10	-14	++	1.03	4.29
3/24	A	Tucson Tanque Verde	3-	10	-7	-11	++	1.03	4.25
3/27	H	Corona del Sol	5-	15	-10	-12		-1.03	1.83
3/31	A	Mesa	4-	11	-7	-3	–	1.03	-3.58
4/05	H	Pinnacle	5-	15	-10	-7	–	-1.03	-2.94
4/11	A	Scottsdale Christian	9-	8	1	4	–	1.03	-2.59
4/12	A	Phoenix Country Day	1-	9	-8	-7		1.03	-0.59
4/14	A	Horizon	8-	7	1	-4	++	1.03	4.51
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/17	N	Hamilton	3-	19	4.51
3/01	A	Phoenix Country Day	3-	15	2.00
3/07	A	Chandler	4-	14	-3.91
3/13	A	Gilbert	2-	12	-4.29
3/27	H	Corona del Sol	5-	15	-1.83
4/05	H	Pinnacle	5-	15	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.32

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	71.		Natl CCR Rank	2392
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	71.20		Natl Power Rank	2392
Natl SOS Rating	72.98		Natl SOS Rank	1590
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.07		Natl Quality Win Rank	1161
W-L Pct Rating	0.17		W-L Pct Rank	2292
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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