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Beaver Country Day Mariners (5-6)

Region: NE East-2

State: MA

Coach: Larry McKinney

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	vs. Hinsdale Central # (7-8)	IL WesSub	86.1		L	2-	9		-0.175
4/11	at Bancroft (7-7)	NE East-2	85.1		L	2-	16		-0.100
4/20	at Concord Academy (0-9)	NE East-2	75.0		W	11-	5		0.150
4/25	CHAPEL HILL CH (5-8)	NE East-2	82.4		W	9-	4		0.225
4/30	PINGREE (13-3)	NE East-2	93.9		L	3-	14		0.000
5/02	at Worcester Academy (12-4)	NE East-2	91.9		L	4-	18		0.000
5/04	LANDMARK SCHOOL (2-9)	NE East-2	78.9		W	16-	2		0.150
5/09	CONCORD ACADEMY (0-9)	NE East-2	75.0		W	10-	5		0.100
5/11	PORTSMOUTH ABBEY (10-5)	NE SEast-1	91.2		L	6-	18		-0.025
5/15	at Chapel Hill CH (5-8)	NE East-2	82.4		W	10-	9	ot	0.300
5/19	at Berwick (12-7)	NE East-2	91.9		L	3-	19		0.000
# Neutral site			82.4						0.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	N	Hinsdale Central	2-	9	-7	-3	––	0.00		-4.06
4/11	A	Bancroft	2-	16	-14	-6	–––	1.45	-7.54
4/20	A	Concord Academy	11-	5	6	4	+	1.45	2.40
4/25	H	Chapel Hill CH	9-	4	5	1	+	-1.45	3.91
4/30	H	Pingree	3-	14	-11	-11		-1.45	-0.28
5/02	A	Worcester Academy	4-	18	-14	-12		1.45	-1.99
5/04	H	Landmark School	16-	2	14	4	+++	-1.45	9.92
5/09	H	Concord Academy	10-	5	5	6		-1.45	-1.49
5/11	H	Portsmouth Abbey	6-	18	-12	-9	–	-1.45	-3.27
5/15	A	Chapel Hill CH	10-	9	1	-2	+	1.45	2.80
5/19	A	Berwick	3-	19	-16	-12	––	1.45	-4.46
									0.00	-4.06

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/11	A	Bancroft	2-	16	4.00
4/30	H	Pingree	3-	14	0.28
5/02	A	Worcester Academy	4-	18	1.99
5/04	H	Landmark School	16-	2	-4.00
5/11	H	Portsmouth Abbey	6-	18	2.00
5/19	A	Berwick	3-	19	4.46
10-goal correction: 0.79

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	1460
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.11		Natl Power Rank	1460
Natl SOS Rating	74.35		Natl SOS Rank	1459
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	459
W-L Pct Rating	0.45		W-L Pct Rank	1481
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.0


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