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Bishop O'Connell Knights (9-10)

Region: DC WCAC

State: VA

Coach: B. Rosenberger

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/14	SIDWELL FRIENDS (10-6)	DC MAC	88.3	10	W	12-	10		0.200
3/17	ST STEPHEN/ST AGNES (16-5)	DC IAC	97.4		L	4-	18		-0.050
3/21	at Episcopal HS (5-12)	DC IAC	88.1		L	7-	8		-0.225
3/24	CAPE HENRY COLLEGIATE (15-7)	VA 1 Tidewtr	89.7		W	10-	9	ot	0.250
4/02	PAUL VI (7-7)	DC WCAC	86.4		W	14-	8		0.175
4/04	at Bishop Ireton (11-7)	DC WCAC	88.6	8	L	6-	7		-0.225
4/10	at Chantilly (9-8)	VA Concord	92.4		W	11-	9		0.375
4/12	at Gonzaga (8-11)	DC WCAC	90.2	6	L	3-	4		-0.150
4/13	ST FRANCIS (16-3)	NY P Sec 6	91.5		L	5-	6		-0.200
4/18	at Annandale (8-6)	VA Patriot	90.2		W	14-	8		0.325
4/19	at DeMatha (14-7)	DC WCAC	93.5	3	L	6-	17		-0.050
4/21	at Potomac School (5-11)	DC MAC	82.8		L	9-	11		-0.275
4/24	OUR LADY-GOOD COUNSEL (11-8)	DC WCAC	91.3	4	W	8-	6		0.325
4/27	at St Johns DC (10-8)	DC WCAC	83.6		W	9-	5		0.225
4/28	ARCHBISHOP CARROLL (1-12)	DC WCAC	71.5		W	16-	3		0.000
5/01	ST MARYS RYKEN (17-2)	DC WCAC	97.1	1	L	3-	11		-0.025
5/03	WOODBERRY FOREST (11-6)	VA 1 VIP	89.4		W	14-	6		0.250
5/08	at Gonzaga (8-11)	DC WCAC	90.2	6	L	4-	14		-0.150
5/15	at St Anne's-Belfield (14-5)	VA 1 VIP	92.2		L	6-	18		-0.125
			88.4						0.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	H	Sidwell Friends	12-	10	2	2		-1.48	0.32
3/17	H	St Stephen/St Agnes	4-	18	-14	-8	–––	-1.41		-6.41
3/21	A	Episcopal HS	7-	8	-1	-1		1.41		0.13
3/24	H	Cape Henry Collegiate	10-	9	1	0		-1.00		1.38
4/02	H	Paul VI	14-	8	6	3	+	-1.48	3.21
4/04	A	Bishop Ireton	6-	7	-1	-1		1.48	0.11
4/10	A	Chantilly	11-	9	2	-5	+++	1.34		7.37
4/12	A	Gonzaga	3-	4	-1	-4	+	1.48	3.29
4/13	H	St Francis	5-	6	-1	-2		-1.44		0.65
4/18	A	Annandale	14-	8	6	-3	+++	1.34		9.21
4/19	A	DeMatha	6-	17	-11	-8	–	1.48	-3.06
4/21	A	Potomac School	9-	11	-2	1	–	1.48	-2.99
4/24	H	Our Lady-Good Counsel	8-	6	2	-3	++	-1.48	5.35
4/27	A	St Johns DC	9-	5	4	1	+	1.48	2.57
4/28	H	Archbishop Carroll	16-	3	13	17	–	-1.48	-3.71
5/01	H	St Marys Ryken	3-	11	-8	-9		-1.48	0.62
5/03	H	Woodberry Forest	14-	6	8	0	+++	-1.00		8.07
5/08	A	Gonzaga	4-	14	-10	-4	––	1.48	-5.71
5/15	A	St Anne's-Belfield	6-	18	-12	-5	–––	1.00		-7.19
									0.00	13.22

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/17	H	St Stephen/St Agnes	4-	18	4.00
4/19	A	DeMatha	6-	17	1.00
4/28	H	Archbishop Carroll	16-	3	3.71
5/08	A	Gonzaga	4-	14	0.00
5/15	A	St Anne's-Belfield	6-	18	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.56

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	845
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.37		Natl Power Rank	845
Natl SOS Rating	86.53		Natl SOS Rank	303
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	445
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1367
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.7


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