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Blair Academy Buccaneers (6-10)

Conference: Rizk

Region: NJ Private

State: NJ

Coach: Eric Lunger

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/31	PEDDIE SCHOOL (7-10)	NJ Private	90.7		L	3-	13		-0.075
4/07	at North Warren (7-10)	NJ Grp-I	84.3		W	9-	8	ot	0.250
4/11	HILL SCHOOL (7-7)	PA Indep	93.2		L	4-	16		-0.075
4/14	at Montville (7-13)	NJ Grp-II	81.6		L	7-	10		-0.275
4/18	NUTLEY (5-13)	NJ Grp-III	79.8		W	13-	4		0.125
4/21	CLIFTON (5-12)	NJ Grp-IV	77.9		W	16-	6		0.125
4/25	BOONTON (8-9)	NJ Grp-I	83.8		L	6-	7		-0.325
4/26	HUN SCHOOL (14-6)	NJ Private	93.0		L	5-	17		-0.050
4/30	at Lawrenceville (17-1)	NJ Private	98.5	3	L	5-	17		0.000
5/02	at St Joseph Montvale (11-10)	NJ Grp-B	87.3		L	6-	9		-0.175
5/04	at Wyoming Seminary (6-6)	PA Indep	88.8		L	5-	11		-0.125
5/07	POPE JOHN XXIII (13-5)	NJ Grp-B	90.2		W	10-	9		0.350
5/09	at Millburn (7-10)	NJ Grp-II	82.6		W	8-	7		0.225
5/12	MERCERSBURG ACADEMY (2-12)	PA Indep	86.5		W	12-	5		0.250
5/14	at Sparta (10-6)	NJ Grp-II	89.7		L	1-	8		-0.100
5/19	MONTCLAIR KIM ACAD (15-3)	NJ Grp-B	92.7		L	7-	16		-0.125
			83.2						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	H	Peddie School	3-	13	-10	-7	–	-1.02	-3.26
4/07	A	North Warren	9-	8	1	0		1.02	1.34
4/11	H	Hill School	4-	16	-12	-7	––	-1.16		-5.09
4/14	A	Montville	7-	10	-3	1	–	1.02	-3.76
4/18	H	Nutley	13-	4	9	5	++	-1.02	4.45
4/21	H	Clifton	16-	6	10	5	++	-1.02	4.64
4/25	H	Boonton	6-	7	-1	3	–	-1.02	-3.95
4/26	H	Hun School	5-	17	-12	-8	–	-1.02	-3.91
4/30	A	Lawrenceville	5-	17	-12	-17	++	1.02	4.79
5/02	A	St Joseph Montvale	6-	9	-3	-3		1.02	-0.06
5/04	A	Wyoming Seminary	5-	11	-6	-5		1.16		-1.17
5/07	H	Pope John XXIII	10-	9	1	-4	++	-1.02	4.59
5/09	A	Millburn	8-	7	1	1		1.02	0.49
5/12	H	Mercersburg Academy	12-	5	7	0	+++	-1.16		7.16
5/14	A	Sparta	1-	8	-7	-6		1.02	-1.27
5/19	H	Montclair Kim Acad	7-	16	-9	-5	––	-1.02	-4.08
									0.00	0.90

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	H	Peddie School	3-	13	0.00
4/11	H	Hill School	4-	16	2.00
4/21	H	Clifton	16-	6	0.00
4/26	H	Hun School	5-	17	2.00
4/30	A	Lawrenceville	5-	17	-4.79
10-goal correction: -0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1200
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.17		Natl Power Rank	1200
Natl SOS Rating	75.93		Natl SOS Rank	1289
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.00		Natl Quality Win Rank	1349
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1739
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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