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Blue Ridge School Barons (7-10)

Region: VA 2 CavACState: VACoach: Matt Lamotte

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/17at Christchurch (6-8)VA 2 VIC85.59W9- 8ot0.300  
3/19at Hampton Roads Academy (0-13)VA 2 Tidewtr74.8W8- 4 0.125  
3/23STEWARD (2-11)VA 2 Privte75.8W7- 2 0.050  
3/27at Covenant (12-7)VA 2 VIC88.93L2- 6 -0.150  
3/30WAKEFIELD SCHOOL (11-7)VA 2 Delaney88.84W8- 7 0.350  
3/31vs. CM Wright # (6-10)MD 43 South83.3L6- 8 -0.275  
4/03at Notre Dame Academy (18-2)MD MILL95.2L3-15 0.000  
4/05at Flint Hill (12-6)DC MAC88.3L2- 8 -0.125  
4/10at Massanutten Military (6-5)VA 3 CavAC79.5W15- 3 0.125  
4/13at Miller School (4-8)VA 3 VIC80.4W16- 0 0.150  
4/14ST JAMES (17-2)DC MAC89.6L6- 7 -0.150  
4/17VIRGINIA EPISCOPAL (16-5)VA 2 VIC90.82L2-10 -0.100  
4/19WALSINGHAM ACADEMY (7-7)VA 2 Privte87.55L6- 8 -0.175  
4/24at Tandem Friends (8-4)VA 2 VIC85.78L8- 9 -0.250  
4/28FORK UNION MIL ACADEMY (4-10)VA 2 Tidewtr80.6W8- 5 0.175  
5/03WAKEFIELD SCHOOL (11-7)VA 2 Delaney88.84L7-13 -0.150  
5/11WILLIAMSBURG LC (10-5)VA Indep87.6L4-11 -0.175  
# Neutral site 85.3     -0.27  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/17AChristchurch9-81   -2       +0.37       2.85
3/19AHampton Roads Academy8-44   5       0.37       -1.19
3/23HSteward7-25   8       –-0.37       -2.51
3/27ACovenant2-6-4   -4       0.37       0.04
3/30HWakefield School8-71   -4       ++-0.37       4.77
3/31NCM Wright6-8-2   1       –0.00       -3.16
4/03ANotre Dame Academy3-15-12   -12       0.92       -0.33
4/05AFlint Hill2-8-6   -5       0.92       -1.23
4/10AMassanutten Military15-312   5       +++0.35       7.36
4/13AMiller School16-016   4       +++0.35       12.30
4/14HSt James6-7-1   -4       +-0.92       3.20
4/17HVirginia Episcopal2-10-8   -6       –-0.37       -2.12
4/19HWalsingham Academy6-8-2   -3       -0.37       0.81
4/24ATandem Friends8-9-1   0       0.37       -0.87
4/28HFork Union Mil Academy8-53   3       -0.37       0.44
5/03HWakefield School7-13-6   -4       –-0.37       -2.23
5/11HWilliamsburg LC4-11-7   -3       ––-0.62       -4.42
         0.0013.71

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/03ANotre Dame Academy3-150.33
4/10AMassanutten Military15-3-2.00
4/13AMiller School16-0-6.00
10-goal correction: -0.45

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 85.   Natl CCR Rank 1265
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 84.44   Natl Power Rank 1265
Natl SOS Rating 79.28   Natl SOS Rank 964
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.27   Natl Quality Win Rank 1998
W-L Pct Rating 0.41   W-L Pct Rank 1654
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 7-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 5-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -0.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.3



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