| Region: NY A Sec 2 | State: NY | Coach: Kevin Dayton |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/03 | COLONIE (10-8) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.5 | 9 | L | 10- | 12 | | -0.275 |
4/05 | at Bethlehem (13-7) | NY A Sec 2 | 91.0 | 4 | W | 10- | 9 | ot | 0.300 |
4/09 | NISKAYUNA (17-4) | NY A Sec 2 | 98.0 | 1 | L | 3- | 12 | | -0.025 |
4/11 | BURNT HILLS (2-18) | NY B Sec 2 | 74.7 | | W | 15- | 0 | | 0.000 |
4/14 | at Columbia (15-5) | NY A Sec 2 | 92.1 | 3 | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.175 |
4/19 | CHRISTIAN BROS (14-6) | NY A Sec 2 | 90.4 | 6 | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.225 |
4/21 | at LaSalle Institute (8-10) | NY A Sec 2 | 81.4 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.125 |
4/24 | at Colonie (10-8) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.5 | 9 | L | 7- | 13 | | -0.250 |
4/26 | SHENENDEHOWA (9-10) | NY A Sec 2 | 90.4 | 5 | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.175 |
5/01 | BETHLEHEM (13-7) | NY A Sec 2 | 91.0 | 4 | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.225 |
5/02 | at Guilderland (16-5) | NY A Sec 2 | 96.0 | 2 | L | 5- | 8 | | -0.075 |
5/03 | at Burnt Hills (2-18) | NY B Sec 2 | 74.7 | | W | 19- | 7 | | 0.000 |
5/08 | at Saratoga Spgs (10-10) | NY A Sec 2 | 89.5 | 7 | L | 7- | 17 | | -0.200 |
5/10 | SHAKER (9-11) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.9 | 8 | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.300 |
5/12 | GUILDERLAND (16-5) | NY A Sec 2 | 96.0 | 2 | L | 4- | 19 | | -0.100 |
5/15 | COLUMBIA (15-5) | NY A Sec 2 | 92.1 | 3 | L | 9- | 13 | | -0.200 |
5/17 | SCHENECTADY (5-14) | NY A Sec 2 | 78.1 | | W | 18- | 1 | | 0.100 |
| | 88.8 | | | | | | -1.10 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/03 | H | Colonie | 10- | 12 | -2 | 1 | – | -0.40 | -2.83 | |
4/05 | A | Bethlehem | 10- | 9 | 1 | -2 | + | 0.40 | 3.13 | |
4/09 | H | Niskayuna | 3- | 12 | -9 | -9 | | -0.40 | 0.17 | |
4/11 | H | Burnt Hills | 15- | 0 | 15 | 10 | ++ | -0.40 | 4.59 | |
4/14 | A | Columbia | 7- | 9 | -2 | -3 | | 0.40 | 0.78 | |
4/19 | H | Christian Bros | 7- | 9 | -2 | -1 | | -0.40 | -0.94 | |
4/21 | A | LaSalle Institute | 12- | 3 | 9 | 5 | ++ | 0.40 | 4.17 | |
4/24 | A | Colonie | 7- | 13 | -6 | 0 | ––– | 0.40 | -6.03 | |
4/26 | H | Shenendehowa | 4- | 10 | -6 | -3 | – | -0.40 | -3.19 | |
5/01 | H | Bethlehem | 5- | 10 | -5 | -1 | – | -0.40 | -3.67 | |
5/02 | A | Guilderland | 5- | 8 | -3 | -7 | ++ | 0.40 | 4.02 | |
5/03 | A | Burnt Hills | 19- | 7 | 12 | 10 | + | 0.40 | 2.39 | |
5/08 | A | Saratoga Spgs | 7- | 17 | -10 | -2 | ––– | 0.40 | -7.62 | |
5/10 | H | Shaker | 11- | 8 | 3 | -2 | ++ | -0.40 | 5.28 | |
5/12 | H | Guilderland | 4- | 19 | -15 | -6 | ––– | -0.40 | -8.78 | |
5/15 | H | Columbia | 9- | 13 | -4 | -2 | – | -0.40 | -2.02 | |
5/17 | H | Schenectady | 18- | 1 | 17 | 6 | +++ | -0.40 | 10.56 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/11 | H | Burnt Hills | 15- | 0 | -4.59 |
5/03 | A | Burnt Hills | 19- | 7 | -2.39 |
5/08 | A | Saratoga Spgs | 7- | 17 | 0.00 |
5/12 | H | Guilderland | 4- | 19 | 5.00 |
5/17 | H | Schenectady | 18- | 1 | -7.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.53 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 86. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1089 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 85.01 | | Natl Power Rank | 1089 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 87.27 | | Natl SOS Rank | 259 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -1.10 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2663 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.35 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1815 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-11 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -5.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-11 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-11 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
|
