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Baldwinsville Bees (16-5)

Conference: OSHLN1

Region: NY A Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Peter Fiorini

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at New Hartford (10-8)	NY B Sec 3	94.3		W	14-	1		0.150
3/31	at Lafayette (16-4)	NY C Sec 3	97.3	7	L	10-	11		-0.250
4/03	WEST GENESEE (22-1)	NY A Sec 3	99.7	1	L	10-	14		-0.150
4/05	LIVERPOOL (8-11)	NY A Sec 3	93.7		W	8-	7		0.075
4/10	CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (14-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.2	8	W	12-	5		0.175
4/12	at Auburn (8-11)	NY A Sec 3	92.9		W	11-	8		0.125
4/14	ESSEX JUNCTION (13-5)	VT 1 NVAC	93.2		W	21-	4		0.125
4/18	at Corcoran (4-14)	NY A Sec 3	87.2		W	14-	6		0.000
4/19	AUBURN (8-11)	NY A Sec 3	92.9		W	19-	13		0.050
4/24	at West Genesee (22-1)	NY A Sec 3	99.7	1	L	4-	10		-0.075
4/26	FAYETTEVILLE-MANLIUS (14-5)	NY A Sec 3	96.4	9	W	12-	6		0.150
4/28	at Liverpool (8-11)	NY A Sec 3	93.7		W	14-	11		0.150
5/01	at Cicero-North Syracuse (14-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.2	8	L	7-	14		-0.250
5/03	at Henninger (5-13)	NY A Sec 3	89.4		W	16-	5		0.025
5/05	ITHACA (9-10)	NY A Sec 4	92.4		W	17-	3		0.100
5/08	CENTRAL SQUARE (6-12)	NY A Sec 3	89.8		W	16-	5		0.000
5/15	OSWEGO (12-7)	NY A Sec 3	95.1		W	11-	7		0.100
5/17	at Nottingham (2-17)	NY B Sec 3	87.4		W	18-	6		0.000
5/24	OSWEGO (12-7)	NY A Sec 3	95.1		W	15-	8		0.100
5/29	at Cicero-North Syracuse (14-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.2	8	W	12-	11		0.250
6/01	vs. West Genesee # (22-1)	NY A Sec 3	99.7	1	L	8-	13		-0.100
# Neutral site			90.1						0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	New Hartford	14-	1	13	4	+++	1.48	9.41
3/31	A	Lafayette	10-	11	-1	0		1.48	-1.05
4/03	H	West Genesee	10-	14	-4	-4		-1.48	0.36
4/05	H	Liverpool	8-	7	1	7	–––	-1.48	-6.07
4/10	H	Cicero-North Syracuse	12-	5	7	3	++	-1.48	4.18
4/12	A	Auburn	11-	8	3	5		1.48	-1.81
4/14	H	Essex Junction	21-	4	17	5	+++	-1.09		11.71
4/18	A	Corcoran	14-	6	8	11	–	1.48	-3.43
4/19	H	Auburn	19-	13	6	8		-1.48	-1.78
4/24	A	West Genesee	4-	10	-6	-7		1.48	1.32
4/26	H	Fayetteville-Manlius	12-	6	6	4	+	-1.48	2.01
4/28	A	Liverpool	14-	11	3	4		1.48	-1.10
5/01	A	Cicero-North Syracuse	7-	14	-7	0	–––	1.48	-6.86
5/03	A	Henninger	16-	5	11	9	+	1.48	2.21
5/05	H	Ithaca	17-	3	14	6	+++	-1.18		7.78
5/08	H	Central Square	16-	5	11	11		-1.48	0.24
5/15	H	Oswego	11-	7	4	6		-1.48	-1.72
5/17	A	Nottingham	18-	6	12	11		1.48	0.84
5/24	H	Oswego	15-	8	7	6		-1.48	1.28
5/29	A	Cicero-North Syracuse	12-	11	1	0		1.48	1.14
6/01	N	West Genesee	8-	13	-5	-6		0.00	0.84
									0.00	19.49

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	A	New Hartford	14-	1	-3.00
4/14	H	Essex Junction	21-	4	-7.00
5/03	A	Henninger	16-	5	-1.00
5/05	H	Ithaca	17-	3	-4.00
5/08	H	Central Square	16-	5	-0.24
5/17	A	Nottingham	18-	6	-0.84
10-goal correction: -0.77

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	62
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	97.45		Natl Power Rank	57
Natl SOS Rating	90.09		Natl SOS Rank	137
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	397
W-L Pct Rating	0.76		W-L Pct Rank	383
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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