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Bernards Mountaineers (12-7)

Conference: Kimber

Region: NJ Grp-I

State: NJ

Coach: Todd Pagel

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	at Boonton (8-9)	NJ Grp-I	83.8		W	12-	1		0.175
4/05	at Somerville (8-11)	NJ Grp-I	82.1		W	14-	6		0.150
4/09	WATCHUNG HILLS (14-4)	NJ Grp-III	93.7		L	5-	20		-0.075
4/13	at Cranford (15-6)	NJ Grp-II	89.7		L	6-	11		-0.175
4/14	at Oratory Prep (0-15)	NJ Grp-B	59.2		W	1-	0		0.000
4/18	NORTH WARREN (7-10)	NJ Grp-I	84.3		W	13-	5		0.150
4/20	at Governor Livingston (7-12)	NJ Grp-I	81.4		W	11-	4		0.150
4/23	at Delaware Valley (11-8)	NJ Grp-I	87.1		L	6-	7		-0.250
4/24	CALDWELL (9-10)	NJ Grp-I	86.8		W	6-	5	ot	0.250
4/28	NEW PROVIDENCE (5-8)	NJ Grp-I	84.0		W	10-	9		0.150
4/30	at North Hunterdon (3-15)	NJ Grp-III	87.0		W	9-	8		0.350
5/01	WEST ORANGE (3-11)	NJ Grp-IV	73.7		W	12-	5		0.025
5/03	at Rutgers Prep (13-4)	NJ Private	88.1		W	10-	7		0.250
5/04	at St Peter's Prep (12-5)	NJ Grp-A	89.7		L	6-	13		-0.175
5/07	at Ridge (16-6)	NJ Grp-III	95.2		L	5-	19		0.000
5/09	NEWARK ACADEMY (10-7)	NJ Grp-B	87.0		L	8-	9		-0.300
5/10	SOMERVILLE (8-11)	NJ Grp-I	82.1		W	15-	4		0.100
5/17	VERONA (3-15)	NJ Grp-I	72.3		W	12-	3		0.000
5/23	at Summit (9-10)	NJ Grp-I	92.4		L	2-	16		-0.025
			80.5						0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	Boonton	12-	1	11	3	+++	1.02	7.87
4/05	A	Somerville	14-	6	8	4	+	1.02	3.55
4/09	H	Watchung Hills	5-	20	-15	-7	–––	-1.02	-8.50
4/13	A	Cranford	6-	11	-5	-3		1.02	-1.64
4/18	H	North Warren	13-	5	8	4	++	-1.02	4.07
4/20	A	Governor Livingston	11-	4	7	4	+	1.02	3.39
4/23	A	Delaware Valley	6-	7	-1	0		1.02	-0.72
4/24	H	Caldwell	6-	5	1	0		-1.02	0.61
4/28	H	New Providence	10-	9	1	4	–	-1.02	-3.32
4/30	A	North Hunterdon	9-	8	1	-4	++	1.02	4.90
5/01	H	West Orange	12-	5	7	9	–	-1.02	-2.40
5/03	A	Rutgers Prep	10-	7	3	0	+	1.02	2.96
5/04	A	St Peter's Prep	6-	13	-7	-3	–	1.02	-3.88
5/07	A	Ridge	5-	19	-14	-12		1.02	-1.62
5/09	H	Newark Academy	8-	9	-1	2	–	-1.02	-3.43
5/10	H	Somerville	15-	4	11	6	++	-1.02	4.51
5/17	H	Verona	12-	3	9	10		-1.02	-1.16
5/23	A	Summit	2-	16	-14	-9	––	1.02	-5.18
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	A	Boonton	12-	1	-1.00
4/09	H	Watchung Hills	5-	20	5.00
5/07	A	Ridge	5-	19	1.62
5/10	H	Somerville	15-	4	-1.00
5/23	A	Summit	2-	16	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.48

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	809
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.76		Natl Power Rank	809
Natl SOS Rating	71.07		Natl SOS Rank	1803
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	391
W-L Pct Rating	0.63		W-L Pct Rank	791
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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