| Conference: Bay State | Region: MA 1 | State: MA | Coach: Kevin Kay |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
4/03 | at Framingham (7-10) | MA 1 | 87.5 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.250 |
4/09 | WALPOLE (16-5) | MA 2 | 92.3 | | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.125 |
4/11 | NEWTON NORTH (6-13) | MA 1 | 86.7 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.200 |
4/14 | at Arlington (13-7) | MA 2 | 90.9 | | L | 6- | 15 | | -0.125 |
4/19 | NORWELL (11-7) | MA 3 | 89.7 | | W | 10- | 6 | | 0.250 |
4/23 | at Milton (7-13) | MA 2 | 86.6 | | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.225 |
4/25 | at Brookline (3-17) | MA 1 | 82.4 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.150 |
5/02 | at Weymouth (15-5) | MA 1 | 91.2 | | L | 10- | 11 | ot | -0.125 |
5/04 | FRAMINGHAM (7-10) | MA 1 | 87.5 | | L | 3- | 7 | | -0.300 |
5/05 | NORWOOD (7-13) | MA 2 | 85.9 | | L | 6- | 7 | ot | -0.325 |
5/07 | NEEDHAM (17-5) | MA 1 | 93.3 | | L | 4- | 8 | | -0.100 |
5/09 | at Dedham (0-16) | MA 3 | 75.2 | | W | 20- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/11 | at Newton North (6-13) | MA 1 | 86.7 | | W | 7- | 5 | | 0.250 |
5/15 | at Wellesley (18-5) | MA 2 | 93.4 | 8 | L | 2- | 8 | | -0.050 |
5/17 | at Needham (17-5) | MA 1 | 93.3 | | L | 2- | 14 | | -0.025 |
5/18 | BROOKLINE (3-17) | MA 1 | 82.4 | | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.425 |
5/22 | NATICK (10-11) | MA 2 | 87.8 | | W | 5- | 3 | | 0.175 |
5/23 | WEYMOUTH (15-5) | MA 1 | 91.2 | | L | 5- | 14 | | -0.200 |
| | 86.7 | | | | | | -0.30 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/03 | A | Framingham | 7- | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 1.16 | 0.94 | |
4/09 | H | Walpole | 4- | 10 | -6 | -5 | | -1.16 | -0.65 | |
4/11 | H | Newton North | 10- | 5 | 5 | 2 | + | -1.16 | 3.07 | |
4/14 | A | Arlington | 6- | 15 | -9 | -5 | – | 1.16 | -3.75 | |
4/19 | H | Norwell | 10- | 6 | 4 | 0 | ++ | -1.16 | 4.10 | |
4/23 | A | Milton | 11- | 8 | 3 | 1 | | 1.16 | 1.86 | |
4/25 | A | Brookline | 14- | 2 | 12 | 4 | +++ | 1.16 | 7.72 | |
5/02 | A | Weymouth | 10- | 11 | -1 | -5 | + | 1.16 | 3.69 | |
5/04 | H | Framingham | 3- | 7 | -4 | 2 | ––– | -1.16 | -6.37 | |
5/05 | H | Norwood | 6- | 7 | -1 | 3 | –– | -1.16 | -4.44 | |
5/07 | H | Needham | 4- | 8 | -4 | -6 | + | -1.16 | 2.28 | |
5/09 | A | Dedham | 20- | 4 | 16 | 10 | +++ | 1.16 | 6.14 | |
5/11 | A | Newton North | 7- | 5 | 2 | 0 | + | 1.16 | 2.38 | |
5/15 | A | Wellesley | 2- | 8 | -6 | -8 | | 1.16 | 1.84 | |
5/17 | A | Needham | 2- | 14 | -12 | -9 | – | 1.16 | -3.41 | |
5/18 | H | Brookline | 9- | 10 | -1 | 7 | ––– | -1.16 | -7.60 | |
5/22 | H | Natick | 5- | 3 | 2 | 3 | | -1.16 | -1.17 | |
5/23 | H | Weymouth | 5- | 14 | -9 | -2 | ––– | -1.16 | -6.63 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/25 | A | Brookline | 14- | 2 | -2.00 |
5/09 | A | Dedham | 20- | 4 | -6.14 |
5/17 | A | Needham | 2- | 14 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.34 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 89. | | Natl CCR Rank | 769 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 88.25 | | Natl Power Rank | 769 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 82.65 | | Natl SOS Rank | 590 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.30 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1891 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.44 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1497 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -7.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.7 |
|
