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Brophy Prep Broncos (15-5)

Region: AZ Div-1

State: AZ

Coach: Derek Drogowski

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/10	at Chandler (7-6)	AZ Div-1	87.4	8	W	14-	5		0.075
2/13	GILBERT (5-7)	AZ Div-1	86.1		W	14-	5		0.025
2/27	at Saguaro (7-6)	AZ Div-1	87.6	7	W	13-	5		0.100
3/02	CHAPARRAL (11-6)	AZ Div-1	90.6	4	W	10-	7		0.100
3/05	CORONA DEL SOL (10-4)	AZ Div-2	87.2	9	W	15-	5		0.025
3/07	NOTRE DAME PREP (1-11)	AZ Div-1	76.1		W	17-	5		0.000
3/12	WESTERN RESERVE ACAD (16-3)	OH 1 Indep	98.7		L	5-	8		-0.175
3/16	vs. Strake Jesuit # (11-13)	TX 1 South	87.4		W	12-	3		0.075
3/17	vs. Loyola Academy # (22-5)	IL CenSub	94.3		L	2-	9		-0.250
3/17	at Georgetown Prep (20-1)	DC IAC	99.0		L	1-	14		-0.125
3/18	vs. Cleveland St Ignatius # (11-13)	OH 1 Reg 3	93.0		W	9-	7		0.200
3/21	at Desert Vista (10-4)	AZ Div-1	90.9	3	L	8-	9	ot	-0.350
3/28	TUCSON (8-5)	AZ Div-1	89.6	5	W	12-	9		0.100
3/30	at Mountain Pointe (7-6)	AZ Div-1	87.9	6	W	15-	6		0.125
4/02	at Highland (3-9)	AZ Div-1	81.3		W	16-	10		0.000
4/04	DUBLIN JEROME (16-5)	OH 1 Reg 2	97.2		L	9-	12		-0.200
4/05	PHOENIX COUNTRY DAY (5-8)	AZ Div-2	78.6		W	16-	3		0.000
4/12	at Desert Mountain (10-4)	AZ Div-1	90.9	2	W	15-	3		0.150
4/21	DESERT MOUNTAIN (10-4)	AZ Div-1	90.9	2	W	11-	5		0.100
4/27	vs. Chaparral # (11-6)	AZ Div-1	90.6	4	W	12-	2		1.125
# Neutral site			88.9						1.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/10	A	Chandler	14-	5	9	7	+	1.03	2.14
2/13	H	Gilbert	14-	5	9	9		-1.03	0.47
2/27	A	Saguaro	13-	5	8	6	+	1.03	2.09
3/02	H	Chaparral	10-	7	3	6	–	-1.03	-2.93
3/05	H	Corona del Sol	15-	5	10	9		-1.03	1.06
3/07	H	Notre Dame Prep	17-	5	12	17	––	-1.03	-4.76
3/12	H	Western Reserve Acad	5-	8	-3	-3		-0.95		0.03
3/16	N	Strake Jesuit	12-	3	9	7		0.00		1.67
3/17	N	Loyola Academy	2-	9	-7	0	–––	0.00		-7.41
3/17	A	Georgetown Prep	1-	14	-13	-5	–––	1.18		-7.58
3/18	N	Cleveland St Ignatius	9-	7	2	2		0.00		0.30
3/21	A	Desert Vista	8-	9	-1	4	––	1.03	-5.02
3/28	H	Tucson	12-	9	3	6	–	-1.03	-3.16
3/30	A	Mountain Pointe	15-	6	9	5	++	1.03	4.18
4/02	A	Highland	16-	10	6	10	––	1.03	-4.05
4/04	H	Dublin Jerome	9-	12	-3	-2		-0.95		-1.49
4/05	H	Phoenix Country Day	16-	3	13	15	–	-1.03	-2.41
4/12	A	Desert Mountain	15-	3	12	4	+++	1.03	7.66
4/21	H	Desert Mountain	11-	5	6	6		-1.03	-0.40
4/27	N	Chaparral	12-	2	10	5	++	0.00	5.10
									0.00	-14.49

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/05	H	Corona del Sol	15-	5	0.00
3/07	H	Notre Dame Prep	17-	5	4.76
3/17	A	Georgetown Prep	1-	14	3.00
4/05	H	Phoenix Country Day	16-	3	2.41
4/12	A	Desert Mountain	15-	3	-2.00
4/27	N	Chaparral	12-	2	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	189
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.75		Natl Power Rank	189
Natl SOS Rating	87.41		Natl SOS Rank	252
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	194
W-L Pct Rating	0.75		W-L Pct Rank	390
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	5-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	5.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	9-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	6.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	13-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	7.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	9.3


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