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Broad Run Spartans (15-2)

Region: VA DullesState: VACoach: Phil Truiett

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/22PARK VIEW (0-12)VA Dulles66.4W19- 2 0.000  
3/24UNIVERSITY (12-7)PA 2DSOUTH83.0W14- 1 0.150  
3/29POTOMAC FALLS (7-6)VA Dulles78.39W12- 5 0.000  
4/09at Heritage-Leesburg (15-3)VA Dulles84.43W9- 3 0.250  
4/12LOUDOUN COUNTY (10-4)VA Dulles81.65W7- 2 0.075  
4/14MONTICELLO (5-10)VA Jeffsn78.98W14- 8 0.025  
4/19at Freedom-South Riding (2-12)VA Dulles72.3W15- 1 0.000  
4/21at Dominion HS (7-9)VA Dulles76.7W17- 5 0.025  
4/23LOUDOUN VALLEY (9-8)VA Dulles80.86W9- 4 0.100  
4/26at Briar Woods (5-10)VA Dulles76.0W18- 4 0.025  
4/27STONE BRIDGE (4-9)VA Liberty82.1W14- 5 0.125  
4/30LIBERTY-BEALETON (3-11)VA NoWest75.2W18- 1 0.000  
5/03GEORGE MASON (6-7)VA Dulles77.910W7- 1 0.000  
5/10FREEDOM-SOUTH RIDING (2-12)VA Dulles72.3W18- 3 0.000  
5/14vs. Dominion HS # (7-9)VA Dulles76.7W23- 6 0.000  
5/16vs. Heritage-Leesburg # (15-3)VA Dulles84.43L9-10ot-0.300  
5/19SALEM (11-5)VA Indep83.94L7- 8 -0.325  
# Neutral site 77.9     0.15  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/22HPark View19-217   20       –-1.92       -3.21
3/24HUniversity14-113   4       +++-1.70       8.95
3/29HPotomac Falls12-57   10       –-1.92       -2.94
4/09AHeritage-Leesburg9-36   0       ++1.92       5.93
4/12HLoudoun County7-25   7       -1.92       -1.78
4/14HMonticello14-86   9       –-1.92       -2.75
4/19AFreedom-South Riding15-114   12       1.92       1.71
4/21ADominion HS17-512   9       +1.92       3.46
4/23HLoudoun Valley9-45   6       -1.92       -1.45
4/26ABriar Woods18-414   9       ++1.92       4.68
4/27HStone Bridge14-59   5       ++-1.56       4.22
4/30HLiberty-Bealeton18-117   14       +-1.92       2.54
5/03HGeorge Mason7-16   10       ––-1.92       -4.19
5/10HFreedom-South Riding18-315   16       -1.92       -1.14
5/14NDominion HS23-617   10       +++0.00       6.54
5/16NHeritage-Leesburg9-10-1   2       –0.00       -2.99
5/19HSalem7-8-1   3       ––-1.92       -4.42
         0.0013.17

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/22HPark View19-23.21
3/24HUniversity14-1-3.00
4/19AFreedom-South Riding15-1-1.71
4/21ADominion HS17-5-2.00
4/26ABriar Woods18-4-4.00
4/30HLiberty-Bealeton18-1-2.54
5/10HFreedom-South Riding18-31.14
5/14NDominion HS23-6-6.54
10-goal correction: -0.91

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 1005
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 85.31   Natl Power Rank 1005
Natl SOS Rating 66.59   Natl SOS Rank 2163
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.15   Natl Quality Win Rank 1226
W-L Pct Rating 0.88   W-L Pct Rank 100
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 9.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 6-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 4.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 12-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 8.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 5.0



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