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2009
2008
2007

Bartram Trail Bears (4-9)

Region: FL 2B Centrl

State: FL

Coach: Barth Derryberry

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/12	at Stanton Prep (7-8)	FL 2B Centrl	78.8		W	6-	5	ot	0.325
2/17	at Fletcher (8-7)	FL 2B Centrl	76.4		L	2-	4		-0.200
2/20	FLAGLER PALM COAST (6-8)	FL 3B Centrl	81.5		L	5-	7		-0.150
2/22	NEASE (15-8)	FL 3B Centrl	92.0	5	L	2-	22		0.000
2/24	MACLAY (11-6)	FL 1B Centrl	85.8		L	3-	13		-0.050
2/28	at Episcopal Jacksonville (11-8)	FL 2B Centrl	86.1		L	3-	16		0.000
3/02	MENENDEZ (3-9)	FL 3B Centrl	77.3		L	3-	8		-0.275
3/07	BOLLES (14-3)	FL 2B Centrl	91.1	7	L	3-	10		0.000
3/14	MENENDEZ (3-9)	FL 3B Centrl	77.3		W	8-	5		0.225
3/22	at Matanzas (18-6)	FL 3B Centrl	88.1	9	L	4-	15		0.000
3/28	FLETCHER (8-7)	FL 2B Centrl	76.4		W	6-	5		0.200
3/30	FLEMING ISLAND (1-6)	FL 3B Centrl	74.7		W	6-	4		0.175
4/11	at Episcopal Jacksonville (11-8)	FL 2B Centrl	86.1		L	2-	15		0.000
			80.4						0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/12	A	Stanton Prep	6-	5	1	-3	+	1.59	3.58
2/17	A	Fletcher	2-	4	-2	-2		1.59	-0.42
2/20	H	Flagler Palm Coast	5-	7	-2	-4		-1.59	1.72
2/22	H	Nease	2-	22	-20	-16	–	-1.59	-3.65
2/24	H	Maclay	3-	13	-10	-8		-1.59	-1.65
2/28	A	Episcopal Jacksonville	3-	16	-13	-12		1.59	-0.97
3/02	H	Menendez	3-	8	-5	1	–––	-1.59	-6.41
3/07	H	Bolles	3-	10	-7	-13	++	-1.59	5.79
3/14	H	Menendez	8-	5	3	1		-1.59	1.59
3/22	A	Matanzas	4-	15	-11	-14	+	1.59	2.56
3/28	H	Fletcher	6-	5	1	2		-1.59	-0.60
3/30	H	Fleming Island	6-	4	2	3		-1.59	-0.57
4/11	A	Episcopal Jacksonville	2-	15	-13	-12		1.59	-0.97
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/22	H	Nease	2-	22	3.65
2/24	H	Maclay	3-	13	0.00
2/28	A	Episcopal Jacksonville	3-	16	0.97
3/22	A	Matanzas	4-	15	-2.56
4/11	A	Episcopal Jacksonville	2-	15	0.97
10-goal correction: 0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	1993
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.44		Natl Power Rank	1993
Natl SOS Rating	70.39		Natl SOS Rank	1886
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	889
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	1953
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-20.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.3

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