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Burr-Burton Academy Bulldogs (15-4)

Region: VT 2 MVLI

State: VT

Coach: Wil Mackey

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/11	at Greenwich (6-12)	NY C Sec 2	76.8		W	16-	11		0.000
4/24	WOODSTOCK (12-3)	VT 1 MVLI	92.0		W	10-	6		0.250
4/26	OTTER VALLEY UNION (2-9)	VT 2 NVAC	74.4		W	18-	2		0.000
4/28	MT ANTHONY UNION (10-6)	VT 1 MVLI	87.7		W	10-	7		0.150
4/30	GREEN MTN VALLEY (3-3)	VT 2 Indep	81.5	8	W	17-	4		0.000
5/03	at Hartford (8-7)	VT 2 NVAC	83.4	7	W	13-	7		0.150
5/04	at Rutland (6-9)	VT 1 MVLI	82.9		L	6-	10		-0.425
5/07	GREENWICH (6-12)	NY C Sec 2	76.8		W	12-	7		0.000
5/12	at Rice Memorial (14-2)	VT 2 NVAC	90.9	2	L	9-	10		-0.275
5/14	at Hartford (8-7)	VT 2 NVAC	83.4	7	W	15-	9		0.150
5/16	at Mt Anthony Union (10-6)	VT 1 MVLI	87.7		L	9-	11		-0.300
5/18	at Mount St Joseph (1-9)	VT 1 Indep	71.8		W	20-	2		0.000
5/21	HARTFORD (8-7)	VT 2 NVAC	83.4	7	W	15-	5		0.050
5/23	at Otter Valley Union (2-9)	VT 2 NVAC	74.4		W	12-	5		0.000
5/25	MOUNT ST JOSEPH (1-9)	VT 1 Indep	71.8		W	19-	1		0.000
5/26	BRATTLEBORO (0-11)	VT 1 MVLI	70.0		W	19-	1		0.000
6/01	HARWOOD (8-7)	VT 2 NVAC	84.9	6	W	12-	2		0.050
6/05	LAMOILLE (13-4)	VT 2 NVAC	89.4	4	W	16-	7		0.150
6/09	vs. Burlington # (11-4)	VT 2 NVAC	90.9	1	L	6-	7		-0.300
# Neutral site			83.1						-0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/11	A	Greenwich	16-	11	5	13	–––	1.13		-7.89
4/24	H	Woodstock	10-	6	4	0	+	-1.28		3.81
4/26	H	Otter Valley Union	18-	2	16	17		-1.87	-1.05
4/28	H	Mt Anthony Union	10-	7	3	4		-1.28		-1.49
4/30	H	Green Mtn Valley	17-	4	13	12		-1.87	1.06
5/03	A	Hartford	13-	7	6	4		1.87	1.56
5/04	A	Rutland	6-	10	-4	7	–––	1.28		10.68
5/07	H	Greenwich	12-	7	5	15	–––	-1.13		10.16
5/12	A	Rice Memorial	9-	10	-1	1	–	1.87	-2.01
5/14	A	Hartford	15-	9	6	4		1.87	1.56
5/16	A	Mt Anthony Union	9-	11	-2	2	–	1.28		-3.93
5/18	A	Mount St Joseph	20-	2	18	18		1.28		0.21
5/21	H	Hartford	15-	5	10	8		-1.87	1.82
5/23	A	Otter Valley Union	12-	5	7	13	–––	1.87	-6.31
5/25	H	Mount St Joseph	19-	1	18	20	–	-1.28		-2.35
5/26	H	Brattleboro	19-	1	18	22	––	-1.28		-4.15
6/01	H	Harwood	12-	2	10	8		-1.87	1.94
6/05	H	Lamoille	16-	7	9	4	++	-1.87	4.78
6/09	N	Burlington	6-	7	-1	2	–	0.00	-3.34
									0.00	-36.61

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/26	H	Otter Valley Union	18-	2	1.05
4/30	H	Green Mtn Valley	17-	4	-1.06
5/18	A	Mount St Joseph	20-	2	-0.21
5/21	H	Hartford	15-	5	0.00
5/25	H	Mount St Joseph	19-	1	2.35
5/26	H	Brattleboro	19-	1	4.15
6/01	H	Harwood	12-	2	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	528
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.87		Natl Power Rank	528
Natl SOS Rating	75.61		Natl SOS Rank	1330
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	1818
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	294
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	2.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	6.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	7.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.0


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