High School Computer Ratings

Carlsbad Lancers (6-11)

Conference: D1

Region: CA North

State: CA

Coach: Dan Young

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/07	FALLBROOK (5-14)	CA North	79.8		L	5-	6	ot	-0.300
3/09	at Hilltop (5-15)	CA Metro	74.9		W	14-	8		0.075
3/14	SAN MARCOS (6-8)	CA North	82.2		W	10-	9		0.250
3/16	LAGUNA HILLS (2-12)	CA Coast	72.3		W	8-	7		0.000
3/19	POWAY (14-7)	CA North	91.6	4	L	0-	17		0.000
3/21	at Fallbrook (5-14)	CA North	79.8		L	7-	11		-0.275
3/26	RANCHO BERNARDO (11-8)	CA North	88.1	8	L	3-	16		0.000
3/28	MOUNT CARMEL (6-11)	CA North	83.2		W	11-	7		0.275
4/17	TORREY PINES (21-4)	CA North	95.9	1	L	1-	17		0.000
4/19	at Westview (11-8)	CA North	88.1	9	L	2-	16		0.000
4/23	LA COSTA CANYON (15-8)	CA North	92.5	3	L	4-	17		0.000
4/25	at Torrey Pines (21-4)	CA North	95.9	1	L	1-	21		0.000
4/30	WESTVIEW (11-8)	CA North	88.1	9	L	4-	14		0.000
5/02	at La Costa Canyon (15-8)	CA North	92.5	3	L	1-	17		0.000
5/08	OTAY RANCH (10-8)	CA Metro	81.1			-
5/11	at San Marcos (6-8)	CA North	82.2		L	6-	7	ot	-0.225
5/14	at Mount Carmel (6-11)	CA North	83.2		W	6-	4		0.300
5/17	at Otay Ranch (10-8)	CA Metro	81.1		W	7-	6		0.250
			84.3						0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/07	H	Fallbrook	5-	6	-1	2	–	-0.53	-2.89
3/09	A	Hilltop	14-	8	6	7		0.53	-1.32
3/14	H	San Marcos	10-	9	1	0		-0.53	0.52
3/16	H	Laguna Hills	8-	7	1	10	–––	-0.80		-9.15
3/19	H	Poway	0-	17	-17	-15		-0.53	-1.53
3/21	A	Fallbrook	7-	11	-4	1	––	0.53	-4.83
3/26	H	Rancho Bernardo	3-	16	-13	-11	–	-0.53	-2.01
3/28	H	Mount Carmel	11-	7	4	-1	++	-0.53	4.84
4/17	H	Torrey Pines	1-	17	-16	-17		-0.53	1.13
4/19	A	Westview	2-	16	-14	-12		0.53	-1.57
4/23	H	La Costa Canyon	4-	17	-13	-16	+	-0.53	2.85
4/25	A	Torrey Pines	1-	21	-20	-18		0.53	-1.81
4/30	H	Westview	4-	14	-10	-11		-0.53	1.38
5/02	A	La Costa Canyon	1-	17	-16	-17		0.53	0.90
5/11	A	San Marcos	6-	7	-1	-1		0.53	-0.43
5/14	A	Mount Carmel	6-	4	2	-2	+	0.53	3.89
5/17	A	Otay Ranch	7-	6	1	0		0.53	0.87
									0.00	-9.15