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Carmel Greyhounds (13-5)

Region: IN Indep

State: IN

Coach: Brandon Burke

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/10	at Montgomery Bell Acad (11-6)	TN 1 East	92.4		L	1-	10		-0.150
3/11	at Ravenwood (19-2)	TN 1 East	95.2		L	1-	4		-0.075
3/15	PARK TUDOR (5-10)	IN Indep	80.0		W	15-	3		0.000
3/22	NOBLESVILLE (12-6)	IN Indep	81.6	10	W	7-	4		0.000
3/24	LOUISVILLE ST XAVIER (15-7)	KY Div-1	90.0		L	4-	5		-0.325
4/14	at Culver Academy (16-6)	IN Indep	92.9	1	L	5-	6		-0.150
4/15	at St Joseph-South Bend (8-8)	IN ICC	84.1	7	W	12-	3		0.200
4/20	ZIONSVILLE (11-3)	IN Indep	91.2	2	W	7-	3		0.225
4/21	CINCINNATI SYCAMORE (8-10)	OH 1 Reg 4	90.6		W	5-	4		0.200
4/25	at Hamilton SouthEastern (9-10)	IN Indep	80.0		W	9-	3		0.125
4/27	NORTH CENTRAL (4-10)	IN Indep	73.0		W	14-	2		0.000
4/30	at Heritage Christian (11-6)	IN Indep	89.5	4	W	8-	7		0.325
5/03	CATHEDRAL (8-8)	IN ICC	85.6	6	W	8-	6		0.075
5/07	at Westfield (8-7)	IN Indep	82.3	9	W	14-	5		0.175
5/09	BREBEUF JESUIT (13-7)	IN ICC	88.4	5	W	6-	2		0.175
5/12	at Bishop Chatard (10-7)	IN ICC	78.1		W	9-	3		0.025
5/19	ST JOSEPH-SOUTH BEND (8-8)	IN ICC	84.1	7	W	8-	6		0.075
5/25	vs. Culver Academy # (16-6)	IN Indep	92.9	1	L	6-	8		-0.225
# Neutral site			88.0						0.67

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	A	Montgomery Bell Acad	1-	10	-9	-4	––	2.30		-4.94
3/11	A	Ravenwood	1-	4	-3	-7	+	2.30		3.87
3/15	H	Park Tudor	15-	3	12	10		-2.67	1.85
3/22	H	Noblesville	7-	4	3	10	–––	-2.67	-7.15
3/24	H	Louisville St Xavier	4-	5	-1	3	–	-2.24		-3.89
4/14	A	Culver Academy	5-	6	-1	-4	+	2.67	2.68
4/15	A	St Joseph-South Bend	12-	3	9	2	+++	2.67	7.33
4/20	H	Zionsville	7-	3	4	1	+	-2.67	2.59
4/21	H	Cincinnati Sycamore	5-	4	1	2		-1.77		-0.89
4/25	A	Hamilton SouthEastern	9-	3	6	5		2.67	0.82
4/27	H	North Central	14-	2	12	16	––	-2.67	-4.35
4/30	A	Heritage Christian	8-	7	1	-3	+	2.67	3.59
5/03	H	Cathedral	8-	6	2	7	––	-2.67	-4.82
5/07	A	Westfield	14-	5	9	3	++	2.67	5.71
5/09	H	Brebeuf Jesuit	6-	2	4	3		-2.67	0.76
5/12	A	Bishop Chatard	9-	3	6	9	–	2.67	-3.02
5/19	H	St Joseph-South Bend	8-	6	2	7	––	-2.67	-5.01
5/25	N	Culver Academy	6-	8	-2	-1		0.00	-0.99
									0.00	-5.85

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	H	Park Tudor	15-	3	-1.85
4/27	H	North Central	14-	2	4.35
10-goal correction: 0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	476
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.69		Natl Power Rank	476
Natl SOS Rating	85.17		Natl SOS Rank	385
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.67		Natl Quality Win Rank	535
W-L Pct Rating	0.72		W-L Pct Rank	493
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	8-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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