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Carey Seahawks (12-7)

Region: NY B Sec 8

State: NY

Coach: Tom Aiello

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	at Massapequa (12-6)	NY A Sec 8	96.7	9	L	3-	13		-0.150
3/24	EAST MEADOW (5-11)	NY A Sec 8	88.7		W	13-	8		0.075
3/27	JERICHO (9-8)	NY B Sec 8	90.8		W	15-	9		0.050
3/29	at Floral Park (12-5)	NY B Sec 8	95.7		L	15-	16	ot	-0.200
4/05	at Oceanside (13-5)	NY A Sec 8	96.7	8	L	4-	13		-0.175
4/07	at North Shore (9-8)	NY C Sec 8	92.0		W	10-	3		0.150
4/11	NEW HYDE PARK (10-7)	NY B Sec 8	90.5		W	13-	2		0.000
4/14	at Mepham (11-6)	NY B Sec 8	94.3		L	7-	9		-0.325
4/17	GARDEN CITY (18-3)	NY B Sec 8	99.2	1	L	2-	13		-0.100
4/21	SEWANHAKA (7-9)	NY B Sec 8	87.9		W	9-	4		0.025
4/25	at South Side (7-10)	NY B Sec 8	93.4		W	10-	9		0.225
4/28	at Lawrence (2-13)	NY B Sec 8	85.6		W	14-	5		0.075
5/02	at Hewlett (13-4)	NY B Sec 8	95.9		W	10-	9		0.300
5/05	LYNBROOK (15-5)	NY B Sec 8	96.9	7	L	9-	10	ot	-0.225
5/09	BELLMORE JFK (8-8)	NY B Sec 8	91.0		W	14-	4		0.075
5/12	at Division-Levittown (5-12)	NY B Sec 8	87.9		W	14-	7		0.075
5/18	ISLAND TREES (9-8)	NY B Sec 8	91.0		W	16-	3		0.050
5/21	vs. Bethpage # (10-8)	NY B Sec 8	94.4		W	15-	8		0.225
5/24	vs. Garden City # (18-3)	NY B Sec 8	99.2	1	L	8-	9	ot	-0.075
# Neutral site			89.2						0.07

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	A	Massapequa	3-	13	-10	-4	–––	1.13	-6.17
3/24	H	East Meadow	13-	8	5	7		-1.13	-1.91
3/27	H	Jericho	15-	9	6	8		-1.13	-1.62
3/29	A	Floral Park	15-	16	-1	-2		1.13	0.69
4/05	A	Oceanside	4-	13	-9	-3	––	1.13	-5.90
4/07	A	North Shore	10-	3	7	4	+	1.13	3.20
4/11	H	New Hyde Park	13-	2	11	10		-1.13	1.50
4/14	A	Mepham	7-	9	-2	3	––	1.13	-4.96
4/17	H	Garden City	2-	13	-11	-6	––	-1.13	-4.79
4/21	H	Sewanhaka	9-	4	5	9	––	-1.13	-4.36
4/25	A	South Side	10-	9	1	1		1.13	-0.11
4/28	A	Lawrence	14-	5	9	7		1.13	1.70
5/02	A	Hewlett	10-	9	1	-2	+	1.13	2.65
5/05	H	Lynbrook	9-	10	-1	-1		-1.13	0.19
5/09	H	Bellmore JFK	14-	4	10	7	+	-1.13	3.15
5/12	A	Division-Levittown	14-	7	7	7		1.13	-0.25
5/18	H	Island Trees	16-	3	13	8	++	-1.13	5.00
5/21	N	Bethpage	15-	8	7	1	++	0.00	5.66
5/24	N	Garden City	8-	9	-1	-7	+++	0.00	6.34
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/20	A	Massapequa	3-	13	0.00
4/11	H	New Hyde Park	13-	2	-1.50
4/17	H	Garden City	2-	13	1.00
5/09	H	Bellmore JFK	14-	4	0.00
5/18	H	Island Trees	16-	3	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	147
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.37		Natl Power Rank	147
Natl SOS Rating	87.70		Natl SOS Rank	236
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.07		Natl Quality Win Rank	1152
W-L Pct Rating	0.63		W-L Pct Rank	796
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.3


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