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Carlisle Thundering Herd (13-5)

Region: PA Mid 1

State: PA

Coach: Steve Kidder

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Red Lion (8-10)	PA York 1	78.7		W	13-	5		0.100
3/31	SOUTHERN LEHIGH (10-7)	PA PVLL-LV	89.0		W	3-	2		0.250
4/03	DOWNINGTOWN EAST (21-3)	PA Suburb	99.2		L	2-	7		0.000
4/10	at Central Dauphin (4-12)	PA Mid 1	76.6		W	6-	3		0.100
4/13	MANHEIM TOWNSHIP (26-1)	PA LL04	95.8	1	L	4-	6		-0.100
4/18	at Mercersburg Academy (2-12)	PA Indep	84.8		W	5-	2		0.225
4/20	LOWER DAUPHIN (11-6)	PA Mid 1	81.4		W	14-	7		0.100
4/24	HARRISBURG ACADEMY (5-10)	PA Mid 1	78.0		W	10-	2		0.025
4/27	HEMPFIELD (18-6)	PA LL04	92.1	2	L	5-	7		-0.175
4/30	PALMYRA (10-9)	PA Mid 1	81.3		W	7-	3		0.100
5/02	ST JOHNS CATHOLIC PREP (5-11)	MD B MIAA	80.7		W	5-	4		0.050
5/05	at Emmaus (15-5)	PA PVLL-LV	92.9		L	3-	12		-0.075
5/07	at Central Dauphin East (4-12)	PA Mid 1	75.2		W	13-	2		0.025
5/11	at Cumberland Valley (15-4)	PA Mid 1	88.8	4	W	11-	10		0.325
5/14	at Bishop McDevitt (1-14)	PA Mid 1	69.8		W	12-	1		0.000
5/15	CHAMBERSBURG (9-8)	PA Mid 1	80.3		W	7-	6		0.075
5/17	at Hershey (12-6)	PA Mid 1	83.7	8	W	9-	4		0.225
5/25	WARWICK (19-7)	PA LL04	88.2	5	L	3-	4		-0.275
			85.1						0.98

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Red Lion	13-	5	8	6		1.55	1.80
3/31	H	Southern Lehigh	3-	2	1	0		-1.42		1.42
4/03	H	Downingtown East	2-	7	-5	-11	++	-1.42		5.66
4/10	A	Central Dauphin	6-	3	3	6	–	1.55	-3.36
4/13	H	Manheim Township	4-	6	-2	-6	++	-1.55	4.40
4/18	A	Mercersburg Academy	5-	2	3	1	+	1.42		2.13
4/20	H	Lower Dauphin	14-	7	7	6		-1.55	1.37
4/24	H	Harrisburg Academy	10-	2	8	9		-1.55	-1.30
4/27	H	Hempfield	5-	7	-2	-3		-1.55	0.81
4/30	H	Palmyra	7-	3	4	6	–	-1.55	-2.42
5/02	H	St Johns Catholic Prep	5-	4	1	8	–––	-1.49		-6.90
5/05	A	Emmaus	3-	12	-9	-7		1.42		-1.75
5/07	A	Central Dauphin East	13-	2	11	9		1.55	1.91
5/11	A	Cumberland Valley	11-	10	1	-3	++	1.55	4.24
5/14	A	Bishop McDevitt	12-	1	11	14	–	1.55	-3.17
5/15	H	Chambersburg	7-	6	1	7	–––	-1.55	-6.07
5/17	A	Hershey	9-	4	5	1	+	1.55	3.57
5/25	H	Warwick	3-	4	-1	1		-1.55	-1.77
									0.00	0.56

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/07	A	Central Dauphin East	13-	2	-1.00
5/14	A	Bishop McDevitt	12-	1	3.17
10-goal correction: 0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	902
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.12		Natl Power Rank	902
Natl SOS Rating	79.98		Natl SOS Rank	895
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.98		Natl Quality Win Rank	218
W-L Pct Rating	0.72		W-L Pct Rank	505
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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