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Detroit Catholic Cent Shamrocks (13-6)

Region: MI 1

State: MI

Coach: Dave Wilson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	EAST GRAND RAPIDS (19-3)	MI 2	94.8	2	W	6-	4		0.200
3/25	SENECA VALLEY (8-9)	PA 1DNORTH	89.6		W	6-	4		0.125
3/29	at Brother Rice (22-1)	MI 1	98.2	1	L	6-	7		-0.075
4/03	at Birmingham-Seaholm (11-10)	MI 1	90.2	9	W	9-	2		0.200
4/12	at OL St Mary's (3-13)	MI 2	82.6		W	13-	3		0.000
4/19	UNIV DETROIT JESUIT (7-15)	MI 1	87.9		W	11-	4		0.075
4/21	at Ann Arbor Pioneer (18-3)	MI 1	93.9	4	L	9-	10		-0.225
4/27	at Farmington Hills (9-12)	MI 1	84.8		W	13-	5		0.000
5/01	DE LA SALLE (11-6)	MI 2	90.2	8	W	13-	6		0.100
5/05	CRANBROOK (14-6)	MI 2	91.9	6	L	8-	10		-0.350
5/08	DE LA SALLE (11-6)	MI 2	90.2	8	W	13-	6		0.100
5/12	vs. Brother Rice # (22-1)	MI 1	98.2	1	L	7-	11		-0.125
5/14	ANN ARBOR HURON (6-7)	MI 1	87.5		W	14-	4		0.000
5/22	at Troy Athens (17-4)	MI 1	94.2	3	L	9-	17		-0.200
5/25	PLYMOUTH CANTON-SALEM (9-10)	MI 1	83.9		W	12-	2		0.000
5/30	vs. Northville # (11-5)	MI 1	87.8		W	18-	5		0.025
6/01	vs. Saline # (19-1)	MI 1	90.3	7	W	12-	3		0.050
6/06	vs. Troy Athens # (17-4)	MI 1	94.2	3	W	9-	7		0.250
6/09	vs. Brother Rice # (22-1)	MI 1	98.2	1	L	7-	17		-0.125
# Neutral site			89.1						0.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	East Grand Rapids	6-	4	2	2		-1.67	0.28
3/25	H	Seneca Valley	6-	4	2	5	–	-1.57		-2.95
3/29	A	Brother Rice	6-	7	-1	-7	+++	1.67	6.02
4/03	A	Birmingham-Seaholm	9-	2	7	2	++	1.67	5.50
4/12	A	OL St Mary's	13-	3	10	10		1.67	0.07
4/19	H	Univ Detroit Jesuit	11-	4	7	7		-1.67	-0.43
4/21	A	Ann Arbor Pioneer	9-	10	-1	-1		1.67	0.25
4/27	A	Farmington Hills	13-	5	8	10	–	1.67	-2.21
5/01	H	De La Salle	13-	6	7	6		-1.67	1.00
5/05	H	Cranbrook	8-	10	-2	4	–––	-1.67	-6.17
5/08	H	De La Salle	13-	6	7	6		-1.67	1.00
5/12	N	Brother Rice	7-	11	-4	-5		0.00	1.35
5/14	H	Ann Arbor Huron	14-	4	10	10		-1.67	0.25
5/22	A	Troy Athens	9-	17	-8	-2	–––	1.67	-6.09
5/25	H	Plymouth Canton-Salem	12-	2	10	14	–	-1.67	-3.51
5/30	N	Northville	18-	5	13	9	+	0.00	3.76
6/01	N	Saline	12-	3	9	8		0.00	1.36
6/06	N	Troy Athens	9-	7	2	0	+	0.00	2.24
6/09	N	Brother Rice	7-	17	-10	-5	––	0.00	-4.65
									0.00	-2.95

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/12	A	OL St Mary's	13-	3	-0.07
5/14	H	Ann Arbor Huron	14-	4	-0.25
5/25	H	Plymouth Canton-Salem	12-	2	3.51
5/30	N	Northville	18-	5	-3.00
6/09	N	Brother Rice	7-	17	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	94.		Natl CCR Rank	264
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.94		Natl Power Rank	264
Natl SOS Rating	87.91		Natl SOS Rank	231
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.02		Natl Quality Win Rank	1290
W-L Pct Rating	0.68		W-L Pct Rank	616
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.9
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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