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Cazenovia Central Lakers (12-8)

Conference: OSHL3

Region: NY C Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Jim Longo

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/31	vs. Whitney Point # (7-13)	NY C Sec 4	81.0		W	15-	3		0.000
4/03	at Hamilton Central (5-11)	NY C Sec 3	76.8		W	15-	0		0.000
4/05	at Marcellus (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	92.1		W	10-	9		0.250
4/07	SKANEATELES (15-6)	NY C Sec 3	96.4	10	L	5-	7		-0.200
4/10	JORDAN-ELBRIDGE (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	92.4		W	9-	4		0.200
4/14	at Homer (4-14)	NY C Sec 3	89.0		W	9-	8		0.200
4/23	at Manlius-Pebble Hill (1-17)	NY C Sec 3	81.4		W	18-	1		0.000
4/26	ONONDAGA CENTRAL (12-7)	NY C Sec 3	94.5		L	2-	6		-0.275
4/28	at Lafayette (16-4)	NY C Sec 3	97.3	7	L	7-	8		-0.100
4/30	BISHOP LUDDEN (4-12)	NY C Sec 3	87.7		W	13-	4		0.050
5/02	TULLY (14-6)	NY C Sec 3	94.6		L	9-	10	2ot	-0.300
5/05	at Christian Bros (21-2)	NY C Sec 3	98.4	3	L	6-	11		-0.050
5/07	WESTHILL (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	93.2		W	7-	6		0.225
5/09	SKANEATELES (15-6)	NY C Sec 3	96.4	10	W	10-	9		0.300
5/12	MARCELLUS (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	92.1		L	9-	10	ot	-0.325
5/14	at Jordan-Elbridge (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	92.4		W	10-	9		0.275
5/16	HAMILTON CENTRAL (5-11)	NY C Sec 3	76.8		W	12-	0		0.000
5/18	at Westhill (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	93.2		L	11-	13		-0.200
5/22	MARCELLUS (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	92.1		W	8-	6		0.175
5/24	at Lafayette (16-4)	NY C Sec 3	97.3	7	L	6-	14		-0.100
# Neutral site			85.5						0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	N	Whitney Point	15-	3	12	13		0.00		-1.30
4/03	A	Hamilton Central	15-	0	15	16		1.48	-0.96
4/05	A	Marcellus	10-	9	1	0		1.48	1.08
4/07	H	Skaneateles	5-	7	-2	-2		-1.48	0.39
4/10	H	Jordan-Elbridge	9-	4	5	2	+	-1.48	2.97
4/14	A	Homer	9-	8	1	2		1.48	-1.47
4/23	A	Manlius-Pebble Hill	18-	1	17	11	+++	1.48	6.39
4/26	H	Onondaga Central	2-	6	-4	1	––	-1.48	-5.26
4/28	A	Lafayette	7-	8	-1	-6	++	1.48	4.84
4/30	H	Bishop Ludden	13-	4	9	8		-1.48	0.55
5/02	H	Tully	9-	10	-1	2	–	-1.48	-2.72
5/05	A	Christian Bros	6-	11	-5	-8	+	1.48	3.14
5/07	H	Westhill	7-	6	1	1		-1.48	-0.19
5/09	H	Skaneateles	10-	9	1	-2	+	-1.48	3.39
5/12	H	Marcellus	9-	10	-1	3	–	-1.48	-3.89
5/14	A	Jordan-Elbridge	10-	9	1	-1		1.48	1.93
5/16	H	Hamilton Central	12-	0	12	19	–––	-1.48	-6.92
5/18	A	Westhill	11-	13	-2	-2		1.48	-0.23
5/22	H	Marcellus	8-	6	2	3		-1.48	-0.89
5/24	A	Lafayette	6-	14	-8	-6	–	1.48	-2.16
									0.00	-1.30

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	N	Whitney Point	15-	3	1.30
4/03	A	Hamilton Central	15-	0	0.96
4/23	A	Manlius-Pebble Hill	18-	1	-6.39
5/16	H	Hamilton Central	12-	0	6.92
10-goal correction: 0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	205
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.29		Natl Power Rank	205
Natl SOS Rating	80.77		Natl SOS Rank	811
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	1072
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	903
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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