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Chambersburg Trojans (9-8)

Region: PA Mid 1

State: PA

Coach: Paul Flohr

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	BISHOP MCDEVITT (1-14)	PA Mid 1	69.8		W	12-	2		0.000
3/28	at Hershey (12-6)	PA Mid 1	83.7	8	L	4-	10		-0.150
3/31	NEW OXFORD (1-13)	PA York 1	67.3		W	16-	0		0.000
4/04	at Central Dauphin (4-12)	PA Mid 1	76.6		W	6-	5		0.225
4/12	CUMBERLAND VALLEY (15-4)	PA Mid 1	88.8	4	L	4-	11		-0.100
4/14	LOWER DAUPHIN (11-6)	PA Mid 1	81.4		L	10-	11		-0.250
4/17	PALMYRA (10-9)	PA Mid 1	81.3		L	4-	11		-0.275
4/19	at Central Dauphin East (4-12)	PA Mid 1	75.2		W	10-	4		0.150
4/23	at Northern York (13-4)	PA York 1	83.0		L	9-	11		-0.175
4/25	at Mercersburg Academy (2-12)	PA Indep	84.8		L	2-	9		-0.100
4/28	STATE COLLEGE (9-7)	PA CSNLL	76.9		W	11-	2		0.075
5/01	SPRING GROVE (7-9)	PA York 1	74.1		W	17-	7		0.050
5/04	ST JAMES (17-2)	DC MAC	89.6		L	8-	9	ot	-0.050
5/08	at New Oxford (1-13)	PA York 1	67.3		W	15-	3		0.000
5/10	at South-Western (10-8)	PA York 1	80.4		W	10-	9	2ot	0.325
5/11	HARRISBURG ACADEMY (5-10)	PA Mid 1	78.0		W	10-	9		0.150
5/15	at Carlisle (13-5)	PA Mid 1	87.1	6	L	6-	7		-0.075
			80.2						-0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	H	Bishop McDevitt	12-	2	10	12		-1.55	-1.75
3/28	A	Hershey	4-	10	-6	-4		1.55	-1.91
3/31	H	New Oxford	16-	0	16	15		-1.55	0.67
4/04	A	Central Dauphin	6-	5	1	1		1.55	0.16
4/12	H	Cumberland Valley	4-	11	-7	-6		-1.55	-1.33
4/14	H	Lower Dauphin	10-	11	-1	0		-1.55	-1.12
4/17	H	Palmyra	4-	11	-7	1	–––	-1.55	-7.91
4/19	A	Central Dauphin East	10-	4	6	4	+	1.55	2.42
4/23	A	Northern York	9-	11	-2	-3		1.55	0.93
4/25	A	Mercersburg Academy	2-	9	-7	-6		1.42		-1.01
4/28	H	State College	11-	2	9	7		-1.55	1.63
5/01	H	Spring Grove	17-	7	10	8		-1.55	1.57
5/04	H	St James	8-	9	-1	-8	+++	-1.52		6.79
5/08	A	New Oxford	15-	3	12	12		1.55	-0.24
5/10	A	South-Western	10-	9	1	-3	+	1.55	3.60
5/11	H	Harrisburg Academy	10-	9	1	4	–	-1.55	-2.78
5/15	A	Carlisle	6-	7	-1	-7	+++	1.55	6.07
									0.00	5.78

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	H	Bishop McDevitt	12-	2	1.75
3/31	H	New Oxford	16-	0	-0.67
5/01	H	Spring Grove	17-	7	0.00
5/08	A	New Oxford	15-	3	0.24
10-goal correction: 0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1605
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.26		Natl Power Rank	1605
Natl SOS Rating	70.62		Natl SOS Rank	1855
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1794
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1185
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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