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Cincinnati Cou Day Indians (13-9)

Region: OH 2 Reg 4

State: OH

Coach: Scott Mapes

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	LEXINGTON SAYRE (5-10)	KY Div-1	73.2		W	14-	3		0.000
3/29	MILFORD (16-6)	OH 4 South	86.5		W	13-	10		0.225
3/31	at Anderson (17-4)	OH 4 South	85.9		L	12-	13		-0.225
4/05	at Lakota West (10-7)	OH 1 Reg 4	90.7		L	5-	9		-0.100
4/07	at Cincinnati Sycamore (8-10)	OH 1 Reg 4	88.7		L	8-	9		-0.150
4/09	LOVELAND (12-7)	OH 4 South	85.6		W	10-	4		0.200
4/11	DETROIT COUNTRY DAY (12-10)	MI 2	90.1		L	4-	12		-0.200
4/14	at Granville (9-7)	OH 2 Reg 3	83.8	9	W	10-	9		0.275
4/17	at Mariemont (14-4)	OH 2 Reg 4	93.0	1	L	7-	14		-0.075
4/20	at Fenwick (7-6)	OH 2 Reg 4	81.2		W	11-	5		0.125
4/23	KINGS (3-10)	OH 1 Reg 4	81.6		W	14-	10		0.100
4/30	MASON (2-12)	OH 1 Reg 4	82.2		W	17-	11		0.125
5/03	at Wilmington (1-15)	OH 2 Reg 4	62.9		W	18-	2		0.000
5/05	at Summit Country Day (2-13)	OH 2 Reg 4	74.9		W	18-	9		0.075
5/09	CINCINNATI INDIAN HILL (11-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	93.6		L	10-	16		-0.100
5/12	WATTERSON (11-4)	OH 2 Reg 3	90.4	2	L	4-	9		-0.200
5/15	at Turpin (10-7)	OH 2 Reg 4	83.1		W	12-	8		0.175
5/17	SEVEN HILLS (4-10)	OH 2 Reg 4	75.6		W	17-	5		0.000
5/19	at Cincinnati St Xavier (15-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	94.8		L	7-	14		0.000
5/21	WILMINGTON (1-15)	OH 2 Reg 4	62.9		W	18-	0		0.000
5/23	TURPIN (10-7)	OH 2 Reg 4	83.1		W	11-	3		0.075
5/26	at Mariemont (14-4)	OH 2 Reg 4	93.0	1	L	8-	15		-0.075
			83.4						0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Lexington Sayre	14-	3	11	15	–	-1.75		-3.82
3/29	H	Milford	13-	10	3	1		-1.30		1.92
3/31	A	Anderson	12-	13	-1	-1		1.30		-0.05
4/05	A	Lakota West	5-	9	-4	-6		1.28		1.76
4/07	A	Cincinnati Sycamore	8-	9	-1	-4	+	1.28		2.67
4/09	H	Loveland	10-	4	6	2	++	-1.30		4.08
4/11	H	Detroit Country Day	4-	12	-8	-2	––	-1.68		-5.81
4/14	A	Granville	10-	9	1	-1	+	1.68	2.16
4/17	A	Mariemont	7-	14	-7	-7		1.68	-0.30
4/20	A	Fenwick	11-	5	6	5		1.68	0.93
4/23	H	Kings	14-	10	4	6		-1.28		-1.92
4/30	H	Mason	17-	11	6	5		-1.28		0.65
5/03	A	Wilmington	18-	2	16	17		1.68	-1.47
5/05	A	Summit Country Day	18-	9	9	7		1.68	1.99
5/09	H	Cincinnati Indian Hill	10-	16	-6	-6		-1.28		0.08
5/12	H	Watterson	4-	9	-5	-2	–	-1.68	-3.30
5/15	A	Turpin	12-	8	4	3		1.68	0.66
5/17	H	Seven Hills	17-	5	12	11		-1.68	1.15
5/19	A	Cincinnati St Xavier	7-	14	-7	-10	+	1.28		2.82
5/21	H	Wilmington	18-	0	18	21	–	-1.68	-2.83
5/23	H	Turpin	11-	3	8	7		-1.68	1.30
5/26	A	Mariemont	8-	15	-7	-7		1.68	-0.30
									0.00	2.39

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	H	Lexington Sayre	14-	3	3.82
5/03	A	Wilmington	18-	2	1.47
5/17	H	Seven Hills	17-	5	-1.15
5/21	H	Wilmington	18-	0	2.83
10-goal correction: 0.32

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1036
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.27		Natl Power Rank	1036
Natl SOS Rating	76.85		Natl SOS Rank	1200
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	721
W-L Pct Rating	0.59		W-L Pct Rank	922
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.3


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