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Cedar Ridge Red Wolves (9-7)

Region: NC 3A/2A

State: NC

Coach: Pat Kavanaugh

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/28	at Western Guilford (19-0)	NC 3A/2A	94.6	2	L	3-	14		0.000
3/02	at Cardinal Gibbons (17-4)	NC 3A/2A	90.9	8	L	1-	12		-0.025
3/07	SOUTHEAST GUILFORD (11-6)	NC 3A/2A	87.3		L	1-	12		-0.100
3/09	at SouthWest Guilford (6-10)	NC 3A/2A	75.4		W	6-	2		0.175
3/12	at Northern Durham (5-12)	NC 4A	76.5		W	11-	6		0.225
3/19	SOUTHWEST GUILFORD (6-10)	NC 3A/2A	75.4		W	10-	5		0.150
3/26	NORTHERN DURHAM (5-12)	NC 4A	76.5		W	11-	9		0.175
3/29	RAVENSCROFT SCHOOL (8-11)	NC Prvate	83.7		L	5-	6		-0.200
4/11	EASTERN GUILFORD (1-18)	NC 3A/2A	68.4		W	10-	2		0.000
4/13	HILLSBOROUGH ORANGE (5-14)	NC 3A/2A	72.6		W	14-	4		0.050
4/17	at Eastern Guilford (1-18)	NC 3A/2A	68.4		W	10-	2		0.000
4/18	WESTERN ALAMANCE (6-12)	NC 3A/2A	79.8		L	5-	8		-0.250
4/20	TRITON (10-5)	NC 3A/2A	81.7		L	4-	5		-0.250
4/26	CARDINAL GIBBONS (17-4)	NC 3A/2A	90.9	8	L	2-	10		-0.050
4/27	at Triton (10-5)	NC 3A/2A	81.7		W	8-	7	ot	0.275
5/07	at Hillsborough Orange (5-14)	NC 3A/2A	72.6		W	17-	3		0.100
			81.6						0.28

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/28	A	Western Guilford	3-	14	-11	-11		0.74	0.08
3/02	A	Cardinal Gibbons	1-	12	-11	-9		0.74	-1.55
3/07	H	SouthEast Guilford	1-	12	-11	-6	––	-0.74	-5.22
3/09	A	SouthWest Guilford	6-	2	4	3		0.74	1.38
3/12	A	Northern Durham	11-	6	5	1	+	0.74	3.55
3/19	H	SouthWest Guilford	10-	5	5	4		-0.74	0.90
3/26	H	Northern Durham	11-	9	2	3		-0.74	-0.92
3/29	H	Ravenscroft School	5-	6	-1	-2		-1.20		1.05
4/11	H	Eastern Guilford	10-	2	8	12	–	-0.74	-3.94
4/13	H	Hillsborough Orange	14-	4	10	8	+	-0.74	2.37
4/17	A	Eastern Guilford	10-	2	8	10	–	0.74	-2.47
4/18	H	Western Alamance	5-	8	-3	0	–	-0.74	-2.92
4/20	H	Triton	4-	5	-1	0		-0.74	-1.29
4/26	H	Cardinal Gibbons	2-	10	-8	-8		-0.74	-0.02
4/27	A	Triton	8-	7	1	-1	+	0.74	2.19
5/07	A	Hillsborough Orange	17-	3	14	6	+++	0.74	7.85
									0.00	1.05

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/28	A	Western Guilford	3-	14	-0.08
3/02	A	Cardinal Gibbons	1-	12	1.00
3/07	H	SouthEast Guilford	1-	12	1.00
4/13	H	Hillsborough Orange	14-	4	0.00
5/07	A	Hillsborough Orange	17-	3	-4.00
10-goal correction: -0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	1688
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.40		Natl Power Rank	1688
Natl SOS Rating	73.21		Natl SOS Rank	1568
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.28		Natl Quality Win Rank	830
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1041
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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