| Region: AZ Div-1 | State: AZ | Coach: Dave Henning |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/10 | BROPHY PREP (15-5) | AZ Div-1 | 94.8 | 1 | L | 5- | 14 | | -0.075 |
2/17 | at Chaparral (11-6) | AZ Div-1 | 90.6 | 4 | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.150 |
2/21 | at Desert Mountain (10-4) | AZ Div-1 | 90.9 | 2 | L | 8- | 14 | | -0.150 |
2/24 | at Desert Vista (10-4) | AZ Div-1 | 90.9 | 3 | L | 6- | 10 | | -0.150 |
3/03 | NOTRE DAME PREP (1-11) | AZ Div-1 | 76.1 | | W | 21- | 12 | | 0.025 |
3/07 | BASHA (2-10) | AZ Div-2 | 71.2 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.000 |
3/17 | TUCSON (8-5) | AZ Div-1 | 89.6 | 5 | L | 9- | 13 | | -0.200 |
3/24 | AIR ACADEMY (10-6) | CO South | 90.3 | | W | 16- | 14 | | 0.300 |
3/31 | GILBERT (5-7) | AZ Div-1 | 86.1 | | W | 11- | 10 | ot | 0.225 |
4/02 | SAGUARO (7-6) | AZ Div-1 | 87.6 | 7 | W | 13- | 10 | | 0.250 |
4/05 | at Hamilton (10-4) | AZ Div-2 | 87.0 | 10 | W | 11- | 10 | ot | 0.250 |
4/09 | at Mountain Pointe (7-6) | AZ Div-1 | 87.9 | 6 | L | 8- | 9 | ot | -0.175 |
4/11 | HIGHLAND (3-9) | AZ Div-1 | 81.3 | | W | 18- | 9 | | 0.150 |
| | 86.9 | | | | | | 0.30 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/10 | H | Brophy Prep | 5- | 14 | -9 | -7 | – | -1.03 | -2.14 | |
2/17 | A | Chaparral | 5- | 9 | -4 | -4 | | 1.03 | 0.02 | |
2/21 | A | Desert Mountain | 8- | 14 | -6 | -4 | – | 1.03 | -2.45 | |
2/24 | A | Desert Vista | 6- | 10 | -4 | -4 | | 1.03 | -0.13 | |
3/03 | H | Notre Dame Prep | 21- | 12 | 9 | 9 | | -1.03 | 0.13 | |
3/07 | H | Basha | 14- | 4 | 10 | 14 | – | -1.03 | -3.91 | |
3/17 | H | Tucson | 9- | 13 | -4 | -2 | – | -1.03 | -2.27 | |
3/24 | H | Air Academy | 16- | 14 | 2 | -2 | ++ | -0.81 | | 4.04 |
3/31 | H | Gilbert | 11- | 10 | 1 | 1 | | -1.03 | 0.36 | |
4/02 | H | Saguaro | 13- | 10 | 3 | 0 | + | -1.03 | 2.92 | |
4/05 | A | Hamilton | 11- | 10 | 1 | 0 | | 1.03 | 0.64 | |
4/09 | A | Mountain Pointe | 8- | 9 | -1 | -3 | + | 1.03 | 2.07 | |
4/11 | H | Highland | 18- | 9 | 9 | 4 | ++ | -1.03 | 4.78 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 4.04 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/07 | H | Basha | 14- | 4 | 3.91 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.30 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 87. | | Natl CCR Rank | 952 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 87.42 | | Natl Power Rank | 952 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 82.95 | | Natl SOS Rank | 568 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.30 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 799 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.54 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1109 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 0.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -5.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.0 |
|
