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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Chapel Hill Tigers (22-4)

Region: NC 4AState: NCCoach: Glen Estacio

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/02at Athens Drive (2-14)NC 4A77.1W12- 1 0.000  
3/06at Green Hope (8-9)NC 4A84.5W14- 4 0.075  
3/09ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (8-11)MD A MIAA93.3L5-13 -0.325  
3/10CHARLOTTE COU DAY (19-6)NC Prvate94.2W13- 5 0.200  
3/14MOUNT TABOR (9-9)NC 4A83.3W11- 5 0.000  
3/20at Apex (15-5)NC 4A92.83W7- 4 0.225  
3/23DURHAM JORDAN (11-9)NC 4A86.3W11- 9 0.050  
3/28at NorthWest Guilford (6-9)NC 4A80.9W14- 1 0.000  
3/29DURHAM RIVERSIDE (11-8)NC 4A88.0W16- 7 0.100  
3/31WALSINGHAM ACADEMY (7-7)VA 2 Privte87.8W16- 0 0.050  
4/03at Mount Hebron (12-6)MD 32 South90.8W11-10ot0.150  
4/04at South River (12-5)MD 43 East91.4L6- 7 -0.325  
4/05at St Mary's Annapolis (9-8)MD A MIAA96.6L5-13 -0.200  
4/10ST ANTHONY'S (14-3)NY Cath97.9L3-10 -0.200  
4/13at East Chapel Hill (17-5)NC 4A92.35W6- 4 0.200  
4/17NORTHERN DURHAM (5-12)NC 4A76.5W18- 3 0.000  
4/20at Durham Riverside (11-8)NC 4A88.0W7- 6 0.125  
4/24at Durham Jordan (11-9)NC 4A86.3W13- 6 0.100  
4/26at Durham Academy (7-9)NC Prvate84.4W10- 3 0.000  
5/01EAST CHAPEL HILL (17-5)NC 4A92.35W16- 7 0.150  
5/03at Northern Durham (5-12)NC 4A76.5W16- 8 0.000  
5/04GREENSBORO PAGE (16-4)NC 4A91.37W12-10 0.125  
5/08SOUTHEAST RALEIGH (10-7)NC 4A80.5W11- 0 0.000  
5/11WILMINGTON HOGGARD (15-6)NC 4A88.210W16- 7 0.050  
5/16GREENSBORO PAGE (16-4)NC 4A91.37W18- 6 0.125  
5/19CHARLOTTE PROVIDENCE (20-4)NC 4A92.84W16- 6 1.175  
 88.7     1.85  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/02AAthens Drive12-111   13       –0.74       -2.36
3/06AGreen Hope14-410   7       +0.74       3.47
3/09HArchbishop Spalding5-13-8   3       –––-1.04       11.02
3/10HCharlotte Cou Day13-58   2       ++-1.20       5.79
3/14HMount Tabor11-56   11       ––-0.74       -4.77
3/20AApex7-43   1       +0.74       2.07
3/23HDurham Jordan11-92   8       ––-0.74       -5.76
3/28ANorthWest Guilford14-113   12       0.74       1.50
3/29HDurham Riverside16-79   6       +-0.74       3.01
3/31HWalsingham Academy16-016   8       +++-0.55       7.96
4/03AMount Hebron11-101   4       –0.73       -2.74
4/04ASouth River6-7-1   3       ––0.73       -4.10
4/05ASt Mary's Annapolis5-13-8   -2       ––1.04       -5.60
4/10HSt Anthony's3-10-7   -2       ––-1.04       -5.40
4/13AEast Chapel Hill6-42   2       0.74       -0.33
4/17HNorthern Durham18-315   16       -0.74       -1.06
4/20ADurham Riverside7-61   5       –0.74       -3.51
4/24ADurham Jordan13-67   6       0.74       0.72
4/26ADurham Academy10-37   10       –1.20       -2.68
5/01HEast Chapel Hill16-79   4       ++-0.74       5.19
5/03ANorthern Durham16-88   15       –––0.74       -6.59
5/04HGreensboro Page12-102   5       –-0.74       -3.21
5/08HSouthEast Raleigh11-011   14       –-0.74       -3.25
5/11HWilmington Hoggard16-79   8       -0.74       1.29
5/16HGreensboro Page18-612   5       +++-0.74       6.79
5/19HCharlotte Providence16-610   3       +++-0.74       6.80
         0.00-17.79

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/02AAthens Drive12-12.36
3/06AGreen Hope14-40.00
3/28ANorthWest Guilford14-1-1.50
3/31HWalsingham Academy16-0-6.00
4/17HNorthern Durham18-31.06
5/08HSouthEast Raleigh11-03.25
5/16HGreensboro Page18-6-2.00
5/19HCharlotte Providence16-60.00
10-goal correction: -0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 95.   Natl CCR Rank 160
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 95.25   Natl Power Rank 160
Natl SOS Rating 86.95   Natl SOS Rank 271
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.85   Natl Quality Win Rank 58
W-L Pct Rating 0.85   W-L Pct Rank 157
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 22-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 8-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 13-0   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 6.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 10.3

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