High School Computer Ratings

Chapel Hill Tigers (22-4)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Glen Estacio

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/02	at Athens Drive (2-14)	NC 4A	77.1		W	12-	1		0.000
3/06	at Green Hope (8-9)	NC 4A	84.5		W	14-	4		0.075
3/09	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (8-11)	MD A MIAA	93.3		L	5-	13		-0.325
3/10	CHARLOTTE COU DAY (19-6)	NC Prvate	94.2		W	13-	5		0.200
3/14	MOUNT TABOR (9-9)	NC 4A	83.3		W	11-	5		0.000
3/20	at Apex (15-5)	NC 4A	92.8	3	W	7-	4		0.225
3/23	DURHAM JORDAN (11-9)	NC 4A	86.3		W	11-	9		0.050
3/28	at NorthWest Guilford (6-9)	NC 4A	80.9		W	14-	1		0.000
3/29	DURHAM RIVERSIDE (11-8)	NC 4A	88.0		W	16-	7		0.100
3/31	WALSINGHAM ACADEMY (7-7)	VA 2 Privte	87.8		W	16-	0		0.050
4/03	at Mount Hebron (12-6)	MD 32 South	90.8		W	11-	10	ot	0.150
4/04	at South River (12-5)	MD 43 East	91.4		L	6-	7		-0.325
4/05	at St Mary's Annapolis (9-8)	MD A MIAA	96.6		L	5-	13		-0.200
4/10	ST ANTHONY'S (14-3)	NY Cath	97.9		L	3-	10		-0.200
4/13	at East Chapel Hill (17-5)	NC 4A	92.3	5	W	6-	4		0.200
4/17	NORTHERN DURHAM (5-12)	NC 4A	76.5		W	18-	3		0.000
4/20	at Durham Riverside (11-8)	NC 4A	88.0		W	7-	6		0.125
4/24	at Durham Jordan (11-9)	NC 4A	86.3		W	13-	6		0.100
4/26	at Durham Academy (7-9)	NC Prvate	84.4		W	10-	3		0.000
5/01	EAST CHAPEL HILL (17-5)	NC 4A	92.3	5	W	16-	7		0.150
5/03	at Northern Durham (5-12)	NC 4A	76.5		W	16-	8		0.000
5/04	GREENSBORO PAGE (16-4)	NC 4A	91.3	7	W	12-	10		0.125
5/08	SOUTHEAST RALEIGH (10-7)	NC 4A	80.5		W	11-	0		0.000
5/11	WILMINGTON HOGGARD (15-6)	NC 4A	88.2	10	W	16-	7		0.050
5/16	GREENSBORO PAGE (16-4)	NC 4A	91.3	7	W	18-	6		0.125
5/19	CHARLOTTE PROVIDENCE (20-4)	NC 4A	92.8	4	W	16-	6		1.175
			88.7						1.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/02	A	Athens Drive	12-	1	11	13	–	0.74	-2.36
3/06	A	Green Hope	14-	4	10	7	+	0.74	3.47
3/09	H	Archbishop Spalding	5-	13	-8	3	–––	-1.04		-11.02
3/10	H	Charlotte Cou Day	13-	5	8	2	++	-1.20		5.79
3/14	H	Mount Tabor	11-	5	6	11	––	-0.74	-4.77
3/20	A	Apex	7-	4	3	1	+	0.74	2.07
3/23	H	Durham Jordan	11-	9	2	8	––	-0.74	-5.76
3/28	A	NorthWest Guilford	14-	1	13	12		0.74	1.50
3/29	H	Durham Riverside	16-	7	9	6	+	-0.74	3.01
3/31	H	Walsingham Academy	16-	0	16	8	+++	-0.55		7.96
4/03	A	Mount Hebron	11-	10	1	4	–	0.73		-2.74
4/04	A	South River	6-	7	-1	3	––	0.73		-4.10
4/05	A	St Mary's Annapolis	5-	13	-8	-2	––	1.04		-5.60
4/10	H	St Anthony's	3-	10	-7	-2	––	-1.04		-5.40
4/13	A	East Chapel Hill	6-	4	2	2		0.74	-0.33
4/17	H	Northern Durham	18-	3	15	16		-0.74	-1.06
4/20	A	Durham Riverside	7-	6	1	5	–	0.74	-3.51
4/24	A	Durham Jordan	13-	6	7	6		0.74	0.72
4/26	A	Durham Academy	10-	3	7	10	–	1.20		-2.68
5/01	H	East Chapel Hill	16-	7	9	4	++	-0.74	5.19
5/03	A	Northern Durham	16-	8	8	15	–––	0.74	-6.59
5/04	H	Greensboro Page	12-	10	2	5	–	-0.74	-3.21
5/08	H	SouthEast Raleigh	11-	0	11	14	–	-0.74	-3.25
5/11	H	Wilmington Hoggard	16-	7	9	8		-0.74	1.29
5/16	H	Greensboro Page	18-	6	12	5	+++	-0.74	6.79
5/19	H	Charlotte Providence	16-	6	10	3	+++	-0.74	6.80
									0.00	-17.79