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Chelmsford Lions (13-10)

Conference: Merrimack

Region: MA 1

State: MA

Coach: Tom Gallagher

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	at Haverhill (11-8)	MA 1	88.8		W	8-	5		0.150
4/06	vs. Billerica # (18-3)	MA 1	95.5	5	L	2-	12		-0.100
4/10	at Central Catholic (9-10)	MA 2	88.6		W	13-	7		0.175
4/13	at Andover HS (16-5)	MA 1	93.3	10	L	8-	10		-0.175
4/18	ACTON BOXBOROUGH (10-11)	MA 1	90.4		L	10-	14		-0.300
4/21	SALEM (15-6)	MA 1	89.5		W	11-	8		0.150
4/23	TEWKSBURY MEMORIAL (9-11)	MA 2	86.8		W	12-	3		0.050
4/26	ST JOHNS PREP DANVERS (12-8)	MA 1	93.0		L	6-	7		-0.200
4/28	WESTFORD ACADEMY (12-8)	MA 1	90.5		W	9-	4		0.175
4/30	MEDFORD (0-17)	MA 1	76.0		W	12-	2		0.000
5/01	at Tyngsborough (7-13)	MA 3	86.0		W	13-	7		0.100
5/04	at Billerica (18-3)	MA 1	95.5	5	L	5-	16		-0.075
5/07	LOWELL (16-6)	MA 1	90.8		W	10-	3		0.175
5/09	ANDOVER HS (16-5)	MA 1	93.3	10	W	7-	6	3ot	0.275
5/11	WALTHAM (3-15)	MA 1	87.6		W	8-	1		0.150
5/14	at Peabody (13-6)	MA 1	91.7		L	4-	8		-0.200
5/17	at Arlington (13-7)	MA 2	90.9		L	3-	4		-0.225
5/19	at Malden Catholic (5-13)	MA 1	89.3		W	9-	7		0.250
5/21	at Xaverian Bros (22-1)	MA 1	97.6	1	L	4-	13		-0.050
5/22	DRACUT (2-14)	MA 2	81.8		W	15-	2		0.000
5/24	at Boston College HS (15-5)	MA 1	94.1	7	L	6-	7		-0.150
5/29	ACTON BOXBOROUGH (10-11)	MA 1	90.4		W	10-	8		0.200
6/02	at Billerica (18-3)	MA 1	95.5	5	L	9-	16		-0.075
# Neutral site			89.5						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	Haverhill	8-	5	3	4		1.16	-0.79
4/06	N	Billerica	2-	12	-10	-6	––	0.00	-4.16
4/10	A	Central Catholic	13-	7	6	3	+	1.16	2.51
4/13	A	Andover HS	8-	10	-2	-3		1.16	0.88
4/18	H	Acton Boxborough	10-	14	-4	2	––	-1.16	-5.61
4/21	H	Salem	11-	8	3	4		-1.16	-0.92
4/23	H	Tewksbury Memorial	12-	3	9	8		-1.16	0.56
4/26	H	St Johns Prep Danvers	6-	7	-1	-2		-1.16	1.07
4/28	H	Westford Academy	9-	4	5	3	+	-1.16	2.45
4/30	H	Medford	12-	2	10	15	––	-1.16	-5.03
5/01	A	Tyngsborough	13-	7	6	6		1.16	0.35
5/04	A	Billerica	5-	16	-11	-7	––	1.16	-4.00
5/07	H	Lowell	10-	3	7	3	++	-1.16	4.19
5/09	H	Andover HS	7-	6	1	-1		-1.16	1.57
5/11	H	Waltham	8-	1	7	4	+	-1.16	3.10
5/14	A	Peabody	4-	8	-4	-2		1.16	-1.75
5/17	A	Arlington	3-	4	-1	-1		1.16	-0.05
5/19	A	Malden Catholic	9-	7	2	0		1.16	1.52
5/21	A	Xaverian Bros	4-	13	-9	-8		1.16	-1.06
5/22	H	Dracut	15-	2	13	11		-1.16	1.76
5/24	A	Boston College HS	6-	7	-1	-4	+	1.16	3.02
5/29	H	Acton Boxborough	10-	8	2	2		-1.16	0.39
6/02	A	Billerica	9-	16	-7	-7		1.16	0.00
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/06	N	Billerica	2-	12	0.00
4/30	H	Medford	12-	2	5.03
5/04	A	Billerica	5-	16	1.00
5/22	H	Dracut	15-	2	-1.76
10-goal correction: 0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	511
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.83		Natl Power Rank	511
Natl SOS Rating	88.50		Natl SOS Rank	207
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	802
W-L Pct Rating	0.57		W-L Pct Rank	1023
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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