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Computer Rating

Strength of Schedule

Nat'l Quality Wins

Conference Standings

Chesapeake-BC Bay Hawks (6-10)

Region: MD 21 South

State: MD

Coach: John Baker

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	MOUNT CARMEL (7-7)	MD C MIAA	81.3		L	7-	14		0.000
3/23	CARVER A&T (0-11)	MD 21 North	57.2		W	16-	5		0.000
3/26	at Lansdowne (14-3)	MD 32 North	82.0		L	0-	16		0.000
3/29	MERGANTHALER-MERVO (7-7)	MD 32 South	68.2		W	6-	4		0.200
3/30	at Patapsco (7-5)	MD 32 North	73.3		L	6-	7		-0.175
4/05	RANDALLSTOWN (3-11)	MD 21 North	65.0		W	8-	4		0.175
4/10	vs. City-Baltimore # (11-4)	MD 32 South	74.7		L	7-	12		-0.150
4/10	at Kenwood (5-12)	MD 43 South	70.4		L	9-	13		-0.200
4/17	at Woodlawn (5-8)	MD 43 South	67.8		W	7-	4		0.250
4/20	DUNDALK (8-4)	MD 32 North	74.4		L	6-	13		-0.200
4/24	at Milford Mill (1-11)	MD 32 North	61.0		W	14-	3		0.100
5/01	at Sparrows Point (16-1)	MD 21 South	85.7		L	6-	17		0.000
5/02	OVERLEA (5-7)	MD 21 South	68.0		L	12-	13		-0.325
5/04	WESTERN STES (8-8)	MD 21 North	72.0		L	7-	10		-0.225
5/10	at Digital Harbor (7-5)	MD 21 South	68.4		W	16-	12		0.225
5/12	at Sparrows Point (16-1)	MD 21 South	85.7		L	4-	16		0.000
# Neutral site			71.2						-0.32

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	H	Mount Carmel	7-	14	-7	-12	++	-0.37		4.93
3/23	H	Carver A&T	16-	5	11	11		-0.72	0.15
3/26	A	Lansdowne	0-	16	-16	-12	–	0.72	-3.50
3/29	H	Merganthaler-Mervo	6-	4	2	2		-0.72	0.21
3/30	A	Patapsco	6-	7	-1	-3	+	0.72	2.28
4/05	H	Randallstown	8-	4	4	3		-0.72	0.73
4/10	N	City-Baltimore	7-	12	-5	-4		0.00	-1.32
4/10	A	Kenwood	9-	13	-4	-2		0.72	-1.99
4/17	A	Woodlawn	7-	4	3	0	+	0.72	2.55
4/20	H	Dundalk	6-	13	-7	-2	––	-0.72	-4.95
4/24	A	Milford Mill	14-	3	11	6	++	0.72	4.83
5/01	A	Sparrows Point	6-	17	-11	-13	+	0.72	2.43
5/02	H	Overlea	12-	13	-1	3	––	-0.72	-4.08
5/04	H	Western STES	7-	10	-3	-1		-0.72	-1.73
5/10	A	Digital Harbor	16-	12	4	1	+	0.72	2.96
5/12	A	Sparrows Point	4-	16	-12	-13		0.72	1.43
									0.00	4.93

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	H	Carver A&T	16-	5	-0.15
3/26	A	Lansdowne	0-	16	3.50
4/24	A	Milford Mill	14-	3	-1.00
5/01	A	Sparrows Point	6-	17	-2.43
5/12	A	Sparrows Point	4-	16	-1.43
10-goal correction: -0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	2470
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.01		Natl Power Rank	2470
Natl SOS Rating	55.96		Natl SOS Rank	2599
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.32		Natl Quality Win Rank	1892
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1729
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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