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Chittenango Bears (8-11)

Conference: OSHL2

Region: NY C Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: David Chizzonite

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	HAMILTON CENTRAL (5-11)	NY C Sec 3	76.8		W	15-	2		0.000
3/31	JAMESVILLE-DEWITT (22-3)	NY B Sec 3	98.6	2	L	4-	17		-0.025
4/03	at Fulton (2-16)	NY B Sec 3	86.0		W	10-	4		0.200
4/05	NEW HARTFORD (10-8)	NY B Sec 3	94.3		L	6-	9		-0.150
4/19	WHITESBORO (8-11)	NY B Sec 3	91.7		W	8-	7		0.300
4/21	CORTLAND (18-3)	NY B Sec 3	97.8	4	L	2-	13		0.000
4/24	EAST SYRACUSE-MINOA (12-8)	NY B Sec 3	94.9		L	10-	16		-0.150
4/26	FULTON (2-16)	NY B Sec 3	86.0		W	8-	7		0.125
4/28	WHITNEY POINT (7-13)	NY C Sec 4	81.0		W	14-	1		0.000
5/01	at New Hartford (10-8)	NY B Sec 3	94.3		L	6-	14		-0.075
5/03	at Jamesville-DeWitt (22-3)	NY B Sec 3	98.6	2	L	5-	14		0.000
5/08	at Whitesboro (8-11)	NY B Sec 3	91.7		L	5-	15		-0.125
5/10	HOMER (4-14)	NY C Sec 3	89.0		W	7-	6	ot	0.225
5/12	CLINTON (8-11)	NY C Sec 3	78.3		W	17-	1		0.000
5/14	at Rome Free Academy (7-11)	NY A Sec 3	84.4		W	5-	4		0.125
5/15	at Cortland (18-3)	NY B Sec 3	97.8	4	L	4-	11		0.000
5/17	at East Syracuse-Minoa (12-8)	NY B Sec 3	94.9		L	9-	15		-0.075
5/19	at Homer (4-14)	NY C Sec 3	89.0		L	8-	9		-0.200
5/22	at Watertown IHC (15-6)	NY C Sec 3	94.6		L	8-	13		-0.125
			85.4						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	Hamilton Central	15-	2	13	15		-1.48	-1.52
3/31	H	Jamesville-DeWitt	4-	17	-13	-9	–	-1.48	-3.51
4/03	A	Fulton	10-	4	6	2	+	1.48	4.00
4/05	H	New Hartford	6-	9	-3	-4		-1.48	0.74
4/19	H	Whitesboro	8-	7	1	-2	+	-1.48	2.65
4/21	H	Cortland	2-	13	-11	-10		-1.48	-0.82
4/24	H	East Syracuse-Minoa	10-	16	-6	-4		-1.48	-2.00
4/26	H	Fulton	8-	7	1	5	–	-1.48	-3.97
4/28	H	Whitney Point	14-	1	13	10	+	-1.18		2.66
5/01	A	New Hartford	6-	14	-8	-7		1.48	-1.30
5/03	A	Jamesville-DeWitt	5-	14	-9	-12	+	1.48	3.45
5/08	A	Whitesboro	5-	15	-10	-5	––	1.48	-5.39
5/10	H	Homer	7-	6	1	1		-1.48	-0.04
5/12	H	Clinton	17-	1	16	13	+	-1.48	2.90
5/14	A	Rome Free Academy	5-	4	1	5	–	1.48	-3.53
5/15	A	Cortland	4-	11	-7	-13	+++	1.48	6.14
5/17	A	East Syracuse-Minoa	9-	15	-6	-7		1.48	0.96
5/19	A	Homer	8-	9	-1	-2		1.48	0.92
5/22	A	Watertown IHC	8-	13	-5	-5		1.48	0.31
									0.00	2.66

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	H	Hamilton Central	15-	2	1.52
3/31	H	Jamesville-DeWitt	4-	17	3.00
4/21	H	Cortland	2-	13	1.00
4/28	H	Whitney Point	14-	1	-2.66
5/08	A	Whitesboro	5-	15	0.00
5/12	H	Clinton	17-	1	-2.90
10-goal correction: -0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	578
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.14		Natl Power Rank	578
Natl SOS Rating	80.70		Natl SOS Rank	818
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1194
W-L Pct Rating	0.42		W-L Pct Rank	1598
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.0


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