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Chartiers Valley Colts (4-11)

Region: PA 2DSOUTH

State: PA

Coach: Tony Greco

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/11	vs. Williamsburg LC # (10-5)	VA Indep	87.6		L	4-	18		0.000
3/15	PETERS TOWNSHIP (8-7)	PA 1DSOUTH	91.0	6	L	1-	14		0.000
3/20	at Taylor Allderdice (3-13)	PA 2DNORTH	72.9		W	11-	4		0.150
3/23	BUTLER AREA (8-10)	PA 2DNORTH	79.8		W	7-	6		0.225
3/27	LATROBE (3-7)	PA 2DNORTH	74.4		W	9-	1		0.125
4/12	at Winchester Thurston (15-2)	PA 2DSOUTH	90.9	7	L	4-	6		-0.050
4/17	at Fox Chapel (9-6)	PA 2DSOUTH	87.8		L	3-	13		-0.025
4/20	at Morgantown (7-8)	PA 2DSOUTH	79.0		L	5-	6	ot	-0.225
4/23	FAIRMONT (4-13)	PA 2DSOUTH	70.8		W	21-	4		0.000
4/25	at North Hills (11-8)	PA 2DNORTH	83.7		L	3-	12		-0.150
4/27	QUAKER VALLEY (6-7)	PA 2DSOUTH	81.8		L	4-	5		-0.225
5/04	at Greensburg Cath Cent (12-5)	PA 2DSOUTH	90.2	10	L	4-	11		0.000
5/08	CANON-MCMILLAN (6-7)	PA 2DSOUTH	82.1		L	9-	17		-0.250
5/11	UNIVERSITY (12-7)	PA 2DSOUTH	83.0		L	8-	10		-0.275
5/15	BALDWIN (7-11)	PA 2DSOUTH	80.5		L	5-	7		-0.250
# Neutral site			80.3						-0.95

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	N	Williamsburg LC	4-	18	-14	-10	––	0.00		-4.21
3/15	H	Peters Township	1-	14	-13	-11	–	-1.47	-2.31
3/20	A	Taylor Allderdice	11-	4	7	4	+	1.47	2.87
3/23	H	Butler Area	7-	6	1	1		-1.47	0.01
3/27	H	Latrobe	9-	1	8	5	+	-1.47	2.55
4/12	A	Winchester Thurston	4-	6	-2	-8	++	1.47	5.93
4/17	A	Fox Chapel	3-	13	-10	-9		1.47	-0.69
4/20	A	Morgantown	5-	6	-1	-1		1.47	-0.12
4/23	H	Fairmont	21-	4	17	10	+++	-1.47	6.97
4/25	A	North Hills	3-	12	-9	-4	––	1.47	-4.57
4/27	H	Quaker Valley	4-	5	-1	-1		-1.47	-0.29
5/04	A	Greensburg Cath Cent	4-	11	-7	-10	+	1.47	3.22
5/08	H	Canon-McMillan	9-	17	-8	0	–––	-1.47	-7.74
5/11	H	University	8-	10	-2	1	–	-1.47	-3.47
5/15	H	Baldwin	5-	7	-2	0	–	-1.47	-2.35
									0.00	-4.21

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/11	N	Williamsburg LC	4-	18	4.00
3/15	H	Peters Township	1-	14	2.31
4/17	A	Fox Chapel	3-	13	0.00
4/23	H	Fairmont	21-	4	-6.97
10-goal correction: -0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1873
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.86		Natl Power Rank	1873
Natl SOS Rating	70.41		Natl SOS Rank	1881
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.95		Natl Quality Win Rank	2620
W-L Pct Rating	0.27		W-L Pct Rank	2081
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.0


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