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Churchill Bulldogs (11-3)

Region: MD 43 West

State: MD

Coach: Jeff Fritz

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/22	DAMASCUS (7-9)	MD 43 North	79.1		W	11-	6		0.000
3/24	at Bethesda/Chevy Chase (7-6)	MD 43 West	80.9		W	18-	5		0.100
3/28	at Richard Montgomery (3-10)	MD 43 North	71.8		W	17-	1		0.000
4/12	WOOTTON (18-1)	MD 43 West	92.3	6	L	6-	8		-0.225
4/14	at Watkins Mill (5-11)	MD 43 North	73.8		W	17-	1		0.000
4/17	WHITMAN (8-8)	MD 43 West	84.1		W	16-	11		0.125
4/20	at Quince Orchard (7-7)	MD 43 North	80.1		W	9-	4		0.050
4/23	SHERWOOD (7-9)	MD 43 West	81.3		W	9-	8		0.075
4/25	NORTHWEST (3-10)	MD 43 North	72.3		W	18-	1		0.000
4/27	at Walter Johnson (10-6)	MD 43 West	84.9		W	9-	7		0.175
5/02	at Bullis (11-6)	DC IAC	93.0		L	3-	11		-0.125
5/04	at Springbrook (13-2)	MD 43 West	88.8		W	15-	4		0.225
5/12	BLAKE (3-11)	MD 43 West	71.7		W	16-	3		0.000
5/14	at Springbrook (13-2)	MD 43 West	88.8		L	10-	11		-0.275
			81.0						0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	H	Damascus	11-	6	5	10	––	-0.72	-5.16
3/24	A	Bethesda/Chevy Chase	18-	5	13	6	+++	0.72	6.89
3/28	A	Richard Montgomery	17-	1	16	15		0.72	1.36
4/12	H	Wootton	6-	8	-2	-1		-0.72	-1.15
4/14	A	Watkins Mill	17-	1	16	14		0.72	1.62
4/17	H	Whitman	16-	11	5	5		-0.72	-0.21
4/20	A	Quince Orchard	9-	4	5	8	–	0.72	-3.02
4/23	H	Sherwood	9-	8	1	7	––	-0.72	-5.72
4/25	H	NorthWest	18-	1	17	16		-0.72	0.60
4/27	A	Walter Johnson	9-	7	2	3		0.72	-1.19
5/02	A	Bullis	3-	11	-8	-5	–	1.03		-3.15
5/04	A	Springbrook	15-	4	11	1	+++	0.72	9.75
5/12	H	Blake	16-	3	13	15		-0.72	-1.51
5/14	A	Springbrook	10-	11	-1	1	–	0.72	-2.25
									0.00	-3.15

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	A	Bethesda/Chevy Chase	18-	5	-3.00
3/28	A	Richard Montgomery	17-	1	-1.36
4/14	A	Watkins Mill	17-	1	-1.62
4/25	H	NorthWest	18-	1	-0.60
5/04	A	Springbrook	15-	4	-1.00
5/12	H	Blake	16-	3	1.51
10-goal correction: -0.43

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	726
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.15		Natl Power Rank	726
Natl SOS Rating	72.06		Natl SOS Rank	1692
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	1065
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	301
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.7

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