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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Churchill Lancers (15-4)

Region: OR WillimState: ORCoach: Jack Stoddart

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/12at Wilson (7-9)OR Columb87.3L8- 9 -0.275  
3/15BEND (4-8)OR Hi-Des76.9W17- 0 0.000  
3/17SUNSET (14-7)OR Metro90.37L9-10 -0.250  
3/19THURSTON (9-8)OR Willim84.9W12- 3 0.050  
3/22at North Eugene (4-11)OR Willim79.9W14- 4 0.000  
4/06SHELDON (13-4)OR Willim89.69L8- 9ot-0.325  
4/10SOUTH SALEM (8-9)OR NorVal84.4W12- 4 0.025  
4/13at Elmira (0-14)OR Willim72.8W14- 2 0.000  
4/17ROSEBURG (12-5)OR Willim87.2W16- 4 0.075  
4/20at Marist (4-10)OR Willim77.4W16- 1 0.000  
4/24at Thurston (9-8)OR Willim84.9W13- 7 0.100  
4/27NORTH EUGENE (4-11)OR Willim79.9W20- 7 0.000  
5/01at Sheldon (13-4)OR Willim89.69W5- 3 0.225  
5/08ELMIRA (0-14)OR Willim72.8W14- 0 0.000  
5/11at Roseburg (12-5)OR Willim87.2W8- 6 0.125  
5/14MARIST (4-10)OR Willim77.4W15- 4 0.000  
5/21WEST LINN (9-9)OR Rivers88.3W11- 5 0.225  
5/24SUNSET (14-7)OR Metro90.37W8- 5 0.250  
5/30vs. Oregon Episcopal # (17-1)OR Columb94.72L5-13 -0.075  
# Neutral site 81.1     0.15  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/12AWilson8-9-1   1       1.02       -2.20
3/15HBend17-017   15       -1.02       1.79
3/17HSunset9-10-1   0       -1.02       -1.17
3/19HThurston12-39   8       -1.02       1.01
3/22ANorth Eugene14-410   10       1.02       0.39
4/06HSheldon8-9-1   3       -1.02       -3.60
4/10HSouth Salem12-48   9       -1.02       -0.67
4/13AElmira14-212   15       1.02       -2.65
4/17HRoseburg16-412   7       ++-1.02       5.28
4/20AMarist16-115   13       +1.02       2.10
4/24AThurston13-76   6       1.02       0.04
4/27HNorth Eugene20-713   12       -1.02       1.35
5/01ASheldon5-32   1       1.02       1.44
5/08HElmira14-014   17       -1.02       -2.68
5/11ARoseburg8-62   5       1.02       -2.69
5/14HMarist15-411   15       -1.02       -3.93
5/21HWest Linn11-56   1       ++-1.02       4.60
5/24HSunset8-53   0       +-1.02       2.83
5/30NOregon Episcopal5-13-8   -7       0.00       -1.24
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/15HBend17-0-1.79
3/22ANorth Eugene14-4-0.39
4/13AElmira14-22.65
4/17HRoseburg16-4-2.00
4/20AMarist16-1-2.10
4/27HNorth Eugene20-7-1.35
5/08HElmira14-02.68
5/14HMarist15-43.93
10-goal correction: 0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 91.   Natl CCR Rank 560
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 90.36   Natl Power Rank 560
Natl SOS Rating 72.25   Natl SOS Rank 1670
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.15   Natl Quality Win Rank 1015
W-L Pct Rating 0.79   W-L Pct Rank 292
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 0.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 2.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.3



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