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Clarence Red Devils (11-8)

Region: NY A Sec 6

State: NY

Coach: Mike Silverstein

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Amherst (10-10)	NY B Sec 6	88.7	9	L	1-	10		-0.125
3/30	WEST SENECA EAST (13-5)	NY B Sec 6	90.2	7	L	4-	10		-0.225
4/03	at Sweet Home (11-9)	NY B Sec 6	88.0	10	W	8-	4		0.275
4/16	at Williamsville East (9-10)	NY B Sec 6	84.9		L	5-	8		-0.250
4/21	at Akron (10-9)	NY C Sec 6	81.5		W	15-	9		0.200
4/23	at Niagara Wheatfield (16-3)	NY A Sec 6	96.3	2	L	3-	16		0.000
4/25	at Lockport (6-12)	NY A Sec 6	78.2		W	11-	3		0.125
4/27	at Lancaster (7-9)	NY A Sec 6	84.8		W	7-	6		0.250
5/01	FRONTIER (14-5)	NY A Sec 6	93.5	4	L	8-	12		-0.150
5/04	WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (11-8)	NY A Sec 6	90.0	8	W	9-	6		0.275
5/05	NORTH TONAWANDA (0-14)	NY A Sec 6	69.8		W	21-	2		0.000
5/07	JAMESTOWN (2-14)	NY A Sec 6	72.1		W	21-	2		0.000
5/10	WILLIAMSVILLE SOUTH (4-13)	NY B Sec 6	79.3		W	7-	6		0.075
5/11	WEST SENECA WEST (6-11)	NY A Sec 6	82.3		W	13-	5		0.150
5/12	at St Joseph Collegiate (6-11)	NY P Sec 6	83.0		W	7-	0		0.225
5/15	ORCHARD PARK (16-5)	NY A Sec 6	97.3	1	L	2-	15		-0.025
5/17	NICHOLS (3-15)	NY P Sec 6	79.7		W	12-	7		0.100
5/22	at Iroquois (6-13)	NY B Sec 6	81.6		L	7-	8		-0.300
5/25	WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (11-8)	NY A Sec 6	90.0	8	L	5-	10		-0.225
			85.7						0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Amherst	1-	10	-9	-5	––	1.39	-4.11
3/30	H	West Seneca East	4-	10	-6	-1	––	-1.39	-5.49
4/03	A	Sweet Home	8-	4	4	-1	++	1.39	5.33
4/16	A	Williamsville East	5-	8	-3	0	–	1.39	-2.82
4/21	A	Akron	15-	9	6	2	++	1.39	4.26
4/23	A	Niagara Wheatfield	3-	16	-13	-10	–	1.39	-2.81
4/25	A	Lockport	11-	3	8	5	+	1.39	2.74
4/27	A	Lancaster	7-	6	1	0		1.39	1.44
5/01	H	Frontier	8-	12	-4	-4		-1.39	-0.24
5/04	H	Williamsville North	9-	6	3	-1	++	-1.39	4.14
5/05	H	North Tonawanda	21-	2	19	18		-1.39	1.02
5/07	H	Jamestown	21-	2	19	15	+	-1.39	3.93
5/10	H	Williamsville South	7-	6	1	7	––	-1.39	-5.73
5/11	H	West Seneca West	13-	5	8	4	+	-1.39	3.77
5/12	A	St Joseph Collegiate	7-	0	7	1	+++	1.39	6.41
5/15	H	Orchard Park	2-	15	-13	-9	––	-1.39	-4.18
5/17	H	Nichols	12-	7	5	6		-1.39	-0.65
5/22	A	Iroquois	7-	8	-1	2	–	1.39	-3.15
5/25	H	Williamsville North	5-	10	-5	-1	–	-1.39	-3.86
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/23	A	Niagara Wheatfield	3-	16	3.00
5/05	H	North Tonawanda	21-	2	-1.02
5/07	H	Jamestown	21-	2	-3.93
5/15	H	Orchard Park	2-	15	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1067
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.95		Natl Power Rank	1067
Natl SOS Rating	81.02		Natl SOS Rank	779
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	717
W-L Pct Rating	0.58		W-L Pct Rank	986
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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