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Canon-McMillan Macs (6-7)

Region: PA 2DSOUTH

State: PA

Coach: Jim Brown

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/20	at Trinity (10-6)	PA 2DNORTH	81.7		L	3-	9		-0.225
3/23	TAYLOR ALLDERDICE (3-13)	PA 2DNORTH	72.9		W	14-	6		0.025
3/27	at Morgantown (7-8)	PA 2DSOUTH	79.0		W	6-	5		0.225
3/31	at Greensburg Cath Cent (12-5)	PA 2DSOUTH	90.2	10	L	3-	12		-0.050
4/12	at Shaler Area (7-9)	PA 2DNORTH	78.9		W	11-	7		0.200
4/18	QUAKER VALLEY (6-7)	PA 2DSOUTH	81.8		W	6-	5		0.225
4/20	at University (12-7)	PA 2DSOUTH	83.0		L	5-	6		-0.250
4/26	at Baldwin (7-11)	PA 2DSOUTH	80.5		L	6-	12		-0.225
4/28	at Winchester Thurston (15-2)	PA 2DSOUTH	90.9	7	L	3-	16		-0.100
5/01	FAIRMONT (4-13)	PA 2DSOUTH	70.8		W	12-	0		0.000
5/02	at Pine Richland (6-10)	PA 1DNORTH	87.5		L	5-	8		-0.025
5/08	at Chartiers Valley (4-11)	PA 2DSOUTH	77.9		W	17-	9		0.250
5/16	at Peters Township (8-7)	PA 1DSOUTH	91.0	6	L	5-	13		0.000
			79.8						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	A	Trinity	3-	9	-6	-1	––	1.47	-5.29
3/23	H	Taylor Allderdice	14-	6	8	9		-1.47	-0.82
3/27	A	Morgantown	6-	5	1	1		1.47	0.14
3/31	A	Greensburg Cath Cent	3-	12	-9	-8		1.47	-0.52
4/12	A	Shaler Area	11-	7	4	2	+	1.47	2.12
4/18	H	Quaker Valley	6-	5	1	1		-1.47	-0.03
4/20	A	University	5-	6	-1	0		1.47	-1.26
4/26	A	Baldwin	6-	12	-6	-1	––	1.47	-5.14
4/28	A	Winchester Thurston	3-	16	-13	-6	–––	1.47	-6.80
5/01	H	Fairmont	12-	0	12	12		-1.47	0.23
5/02	A	Pine Richland	5-	8	-3	-9	++	1.47	5.71
5/08	A	Chartiers Valley	17-	9	8	0	+++	1.47	7.74
5/16	A	Peters Township	5-	13	-8	-12	+	1.47	3.90
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/28	A	Winchester Thurston	3-	16	3.00
5/01	H	Fairmont	12-	0	-0.23
10-goal correction: 0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1607
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.15		Natl Power Rank	1607
Natl SOS Rating	69.74		Natl SOS Rank	1939
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1183
W-L Pct Rating	0.46		W-L Pct Rank	1458
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0

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