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Commack Cougars (7-10)

Conference: Div I

Region: NY A Sec 11

State: NY

Coach: Chris Denton

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	BELLPORT (10-8)	NY A Sec 11	88.5		L	4-	6		-0.325
3/30	NORTH BABYLON (1-16)	NY A Sec 11	84.1		W	9-	5		0.000
4/04	at East Meadow (5-11)	NY A Sec 8	88.7		W	15-	4		0.225
4/10	at Patchogue-Medford (10-8)	NY A Sec 11	92.2		L	6-	7		-0.200
4/13	at Ward Melville (15-5)	NY A Sec 11	97.7	5	L	4-	10		0.000
4/14	ST JOHN BAPTIST (9-9)	NY Cath	89.6		W	8-	6		0.200
4/16	LONGWOOD (9-7)	NY A Sec 11	89.7		W	13-	9		0.200
4/18	SMITHTOWN EAST (16-4)	NY A Sec 11	97.7	6	L	11-	18		-0.025
4/20	at Walt Whitman (4-13)	NY A Sec 11	85.5		W	11-	3		0.125
4/24	at Northport (8-10)	NY A Sec 11	91.9		L	6-	11		-0.225
4/26	EAST ISLIP (8-9)	NY A Sec 11	90.1		W	9-	6		0.225
5/02	SACHEM EAST (10-8)	NY A Sec 11	94.5		L	8-	9		-0.175
5/04	at Connetquot (6-10)	NY A Sec 11	87.2		W	10-	9	ot	0.225
5/08	LINDENHURST (10-8)	NY A Sec 11	94.1		L	7-	8		-0.175
5/10	at Middle Country (4-13)	NY A Sec 11	86.7		L	6-	7		-0.300
5/14	at West Islip (22-1)	NY A Sec 11	99.8	1	L	2-	15		0.000
5/18	SMITHTOWN WEST (15-4)	NY A Sec 11	97.8	4	L	5-	17		-0.025
			87.5						-0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	H	Bellport	4-	6	-2	3	––	-0.83	-5.43
3/30	H	North Babylon	9-	5	4	10	––	-0.83	-5.67
4/04	A	East Meadow	15-	4	11	1	+++	0.98		10.49
4/10	A	Patchogue-Medford	6-	7	-1	-2		0.83	0.79
4/13	A	Ward Melville	4-	10	-6	-11	++	0.83	4.96
4/14	H	St John Baptist	8-	6	2	2		-1.09		0.33
4/16	H	Longwood	13-	9	4	2		-0.83	1.93
4/18	H	Smithtown East	11-	18	-7	-9		-0.83	1.78
4/20	A	Walt Whitman	11-	3	8	5	+	0.83	3.24
4/24	A	Northport	6-	11	-5	-1	–	0.83	-3.95
4/26	H	East Islip	9-	6	3	1		-0.83	1.97
5/02	H	Sachem East	8-	9	-1	-3		-0.83	1.93
5/04	A	Connetquot	10-	9	1	1		0.83	0.00
5/08	H	Lindenhurst	7-	8	-1	-3		-0.83	1.90
5/10	A	Middle Country	6-	7	-1	2	–	0.83	-2.61
5/14	A	West Islip	2-	15	-13	-15	+	0.83	2.15
5/18	H	Smithtown West	5-	17	-12	-9	–	-0.83	-3.00
									0.00	10.82

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/04	A	East Meadow	15-	4	-1.00
5/14	A	West Islip	2-	15	-2.15
5/18	H	Smithtown West	5-	17	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	566
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.17		Natl Power Rank	566
Natl SOS Rating	84.85		Natl SOS Rank	409
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	1718
W-L Pct Rating	0.41		W-L Pct Rank	1648
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.7


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