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Computer Rating

Strength of Schedule

Nat'l Quality Wins

Conference Standings

CM Wright Mustangs (6-10)

Region: MD 43 South

State: MD

Coach: Andy Gerard

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (4-12)	MD 21 West	82.0		W	7-	3		0.225
3/30	at Bishop Ireton (11-7)	DC WCAC	88.6		L	4-	7		-0.100
3/31	vs. Blue Ridge School # (7-10)	VA 2 CavAC	84.8		W	8-	6		0.300
4/04	JOPPATOWNE (14-2)	MD 21 South	85.8		W	8-	4		0.225
4/07	CHESAPEAKE-AA (6-10)	MD 43 East	82.3		W	12-	6		0.225
4/07	MARRIOTT'S RIDGE (6-12)	MD 21 North	80.2		W	16-	4		0.150
4/11	NORTH HARFORD (7-9)	MD 32 North	84.9		L	5-	12		-0.250
4/13	at Fallston (17-2)	MD 32 North	93.5	3	L	3-	14		-0.025
4/18	at Bel Air (10-5)	MD 32 North	88.7		L	5-	17		-0.150
4/19	at Hereford (12-3)	MD 32 North	92.4	5	L	6-	14		-0.025
4/25	FALLSTON (17-2)	MD 32 North	93.5	3	L	2-	12		-0.050
4/28	vs. Westminster # (12-6)	MD 43 North	89.1		L	6-	12		-0.150
5/02	BEL AIR (10-5)	MD 32 North	88.7		L	5-	9		-0.175
5/04	at North Harford (7-9)	MD 32 North	84.9		L	3-	10		-0.225
5/10	at Glen Burnie (1-11)	MD 43 South	73.6		W	17-	4		0.050
5/12	at Dulaney (14-5)	MD 43 South	93.1	4	L	6-	17		0.000
# Neutral site			86.0						0.03

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	H	Francis Scott Key	7-	3	4	1	+	-0.72	3.37
3/30	A	Bishop Ireton	4-	7	-3	-6	+	1.10		3.41
3/31	N	Blue Ridge School	8-	6	2	-2	+	0.00		3.51
4/04	H	Joppatowne	8-	4	4	1	+	-0.72	3.13
4/07	H	Chesapeake-AA	12-	6	6	1	++	-0.72	5.39
4/07	H	Marriott's Ridge	16-	4	12	4	+++	-0.72	8.32
4/11	H	North Harford	5-	12	-7	0	–––	-0.72	-6.96
4/13	A	Fallston	3-	14	-11	-9		0.72	-1.64
4/18	A	Bel Air	5-	17	-12	-4	–––	0.72	-7.50
4/19	A	Hereford	6-	14	-8	-9		0.72	1.15
4/25	H	Fallston	2-	12	-10	-8	–	-0.72	-2.09
4/28	N	Westminster	6-	12	-6	-4	–	0.00	-2.01
5/02	H	Bel Air	5-	9	-4	-3		-0.72	-0.95
5/04	A	North Harford	3-	10	-7	-1	––	0.72	-5.52
5/10	A	Glen Burnie	17-	4	13	8	++	0.72	5.44
5/12	A	Dulaney	6-	17	-11	-11		0.72	-0.14
									0.00	6.91

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	H	Marriott's Ridge	16-	4	-2.00
4/13	A	Fallston	3-	14	1.00
4/18	A	Bel Air	5-	17	2.00
4/25	H	Fallston	2-	12	0.00
5/10	A	Glen Burnie	17-	4	-3.00
5/12	A	Dulaney	6-	17	0.14
10-goal correction: -0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	1441
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.28		Natl Power Rank	1441
Natl SOS Rating	81.40		Natl SOS Rank	732
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.03		Natl Quality Win Rank	1267
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1731
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7


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